jcd11235

You don't find it highly implausible that someone would forget that they have been exposed to ebola? An intentional lie motivated by self-preservation seems far more likely. Occam's razor seems more applicable than Hanlon's. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

I've put about 5000 miles on my NuVinci N360 this year (coupled to a Rohloff shifter for two-thirds of those miles), primarily a combination of commuting, utility, and touring. I love it. Has anyone else tried it? What do you think? Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

The problem isn't that he acted out of compassion. The problem is that he acted out of compassion and refused to bear the costs of doing so, instead knowingly compounding and forcing those costs onto others without their knowledge or consent. I fail to see how such decisions are beneficial to the world. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

In the event oxygen masks drop down, put your own mask on before assisting others. Personally, I find no honor in the actions of someone who would risk infection to save one person, only to subsequently risk infecting many others in order to increase one's own chances for survival. Integrity => (Helping => Staying) Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

Really? Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

The same way you would mitigate the risk posed by the other 94-97.5% of terrorists who attack the US. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

Thanks

Get defensive much? Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

Back-pedal much? Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

http://www.foia.gov/faq.html#cost Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

86 days of fun, with no arrests! Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

Yes, but it doesn't matter, because we've dealt with that in the first line. We don't actually need to make that assumption of independence I mentioned. I shouldn't have included it. p1 is the probability of success, given that the police arrive in time. 2/3 is the probability of the police arriving in time, i.e., within ten minutes. Their product is the probability of the police arriving in time and being successful, i.e., getting the bad guys before the bad guys get mine or me. Sorry, I should have been more clear. Not really. It's just a basic, common comparison of two options; only the context is extreme. Setting up the problem and finding the solution should take only a very short time. It just takes a long time to write it out. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

Assuming a uniform distribution between 8 and 11 minutes for the arrival time, the probability that the police arrive before the bad guys is 2/3. Let p1 be the probability that the police, being present, can defeat the bad guys before any of me or my hypothetical family are killed. Let p2 be the probability that, with a gun, I can defeat the bad guys before any of me or my hypothetical family are killed. We shall assume that arrival time and police success probability are independent, which seems a reasonable assumption. For the point at which a rational person is indifferent between a having gun or having a cell phone, we have: (2/3) * p1 = p2, so 2/3 = p2/p1. So, if the police are exactly one and a half times more likely to be able to defeat the bad guys than I am then a rational person has no preference between the gun and the phone. If the police are more than one and a half times as likely to defeat the bad guys than I am, the rational choice is a cell phone. If the police are less than one and a half times more likely to defeat the bad guys than I am, the rational choice is a gun. Of course, with a gun, I am most likely the bad guys' first target, which leaves my hypothetical family essentially helpless, so we are all certain to die if I fail. With a cell phone, if the police arrive before the bad guys, but not early enough to evacuate me and my family, then it is possible that the police fail, but at least one of me and my family survives. So the point of indifference is actually when the police are somewhat less than one and a half times as likely to defeat the bad guys before any of me or my family members die. That the police are more than one and a half times more likely to prevail than the I am (or the average, or typical, person is) in such a scenario is a pretty safe assumption, so the cell phone is the rationally better choice (says the lifelong gun owner). Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

Here's me in the process of riding my bike halfway across the country and back. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

My reply was meant as a reply to your post. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

Yeah, god forbid anyone ask about gear or rigging in the Gear and Rigging forum. So, now you've patted him on the head and told him, "It's OK, You're doing just fine. Don't let the meanies get to you. You just keep right on doing what you are doing....ignoring your previous training, jumping for so long with little idea of how your gear works, failing to learn about your gear after so long a time, trying to learn on the internet, depending on the internet to train you and maybe even endangering others with your gear ignorance. Yep, you're doin' jes' fine." Grand, just grand. And you can see from his attitude that it's exactly what he wants you to say. I didn't tell him he'll be just fine. I just didn't shit all over his request for help like you did with your holier than thou attitude. Some of us were fortunate enough to come up around more experienced jumpers who actually cared about those who had less experience and wanted to learn. Clearly, you aren't such a role model. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

It actually referred to my post! Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

That makes sense! Now, if only I could understand why trying to open blogs.cnn.com links crashes my browser … Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

I know you'll jump to that conclusion, logic be damned. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

Not at all. I'm just not going to reject logic in order to rationalize criticizing the administration. He has to work within the framework of applicable laws, whether he likes those laws or not. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

Smart and/or cautious folks often like to make sure they are not overlooking anything before proceeding with an unfamiliar task, especially when the stakes are as high as in skydiving. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

It looks to me as though the OP is asking for help to learn more about his gear, and getting nothing but grief for his efforts. Hopefully his local riggers are more open to the idea of helping jumpers seeking help. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

That a president operates within the legal bounds of legislation passed by Congress is not indicative that that president supports the legislation. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

I remember reading a study a few years back that found that talking on the phone even negatively affected people's ability to walk in crowds compared to having a conversation with someone walking with them. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!

The president has to deal with issues for which the Patriot Act is the relevant law. It would not be reasonable to not expect the president to seek clarification from the Justice Department regarding what the actual limits of his authorities are in those situations. That's not an expansion of power. That's just understanding what powers Congress actually provided to the Executive, which may or may not be what Congresspersons actually intended when they voted on the law. What matters is not what Congress wishes they had passed, but what they actually passed. Math tutoring available. Only $6! per hour! First lesson: Factorials!