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Everything posted by wolfriverjoe
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Bullshit. Those claims are using out dated data. As of Nov 1, Wi had approx 3.7 million voters. Many of those claims are using an old figure of 3.1 million. Wisconsin also allows 'day of election registration.' So it's quite possible that there were more votes cast than there were voters registered before the election. I can't speak to your other claims, but I doubt they are any more accurate. Right Professor. You don't believe in Q. So it proves Bill's point, to a degree. (yes, I know that just because you - a rocket scientist, aren't a Qcumber that doesn't mean there aren't any)
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No clue why it took this long, but part of it is because he appears to be losing. From Heather Cox Richardson's FB post: I watched a little bit of the CBS national news last night. They started off by saying something to the effect of: Trump has called for the counting of ballots to be stopped. But he can't do that. He doesn't have the authority to stop the counting of valid ballots.
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USPA Special Election - VOTE NOW
wolfriverjoe replied to 3331's topic in General Skydiving Discussions
I does? Where? I don't see it. -
Writer with a couple questions
wolfriverjoe replied to JeanLauzier's question in Questions and Answers
Toss in a scene about Hockey and Lisa (Skybytch) might read it . Seriously, it wouldn't be terribly unrealistic for your woman to be a jump pilot (even just a part timer). As noted above, the idea that a jump plane would have the pilot rig in it, and for the seat to be such that it's more comfortable for the pilot to wear the rig, even when nobody's jumping is plausible. That would allow the woman to have a bit of experience in donning the rig, and to trust that the parachute would be an option. Few pilots, other than jump pilots & acrobatic guys have any experience with a parachute. For most light aircraft pilots, bailing out isn't an option. They'll try an emergency landing (because it's their only choice). That would also allow the plane to be a jump plane. These days, there are very few planes other than dedicated jump planes that get jumped out of. There are exceptions, but few and far between. Besides, dedicated jump planes (typically a C-182 or C-206) are set up so that the door can be opened in flight. Opening a typical (hinge at the front) door while flying is very difficult. Doing without the assistance of the pilot (he or she stomps on the right rudder and puts the plane in a skid to reduce the airflow along the right side of the plane) is nearly impossible. -
USPA Special Election - VOTE NOW
wolfriverjoe replied to 3331's topic in General Skydiving Discussions
It's not like people have to choose one election to vote for. It's one of the few occasions where voting twice (once in each different election) is good. Skydiving isn't much of a 'thing' for me right now, this year will have my lowest jump total ever (other than 'zero' before I started). Doesn't mean it won't be in the future. Doesn't mean I don't care about USPA. -
Well, there have been five instances where the popular vote and the EC went different ways. 2016, when Trump lost by 5 million votes. 2000, when the 'Brooks Brothers Revolution' stopped the recount in Florida. 1888, when Republican Benjamin Harrison beat Democrat Grover Cleveland, despite losing the popular election by less than 1%. In this one, the political machine of Tamany Hall denied Cleveland the EC votes from New York. 1876, when Democrat Samuel Tilden won the popular vote by 2.5 million votes, yet lost to Republican Rutherford B Hayes. There was a whole lot of contention over this one. 1824, when John Q Adams beat Andrew Jackson. The rules were a lot different back then, and not all states selected the president by popular vote, so this one kinda doesn't count. But in the first 4, where all states used popular vote, when something resembling modern Republicans & Democrats were the candidates (not entirely true for Hayes/Tilden), the Republicans were the ones who took office despite losing the popular vote. So the comment that 'it's only when the left loses that it's a problem' is reasonably accurate (in 1876, the Rs were the 'liberals' and the Ds the 'conservatives' on social issues but not business ones). Because it has always been the Republicans who win.
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How about some good news for a change!!
wolfriverjoe replied to turtlespeed's topic in Speakers Corner
It's starting to show up on FB. At least when I commented, I admitted that I stole it. -
How about some good news for a change!!
wolfriverjoe replied to turtlespeed's topic in Speakers Corner
A potential disaster averted. A train plunges off of a bridge. Does it fall to the ground below? Does it land on a residential neighborhood? Are dozens of people injured or killed (train was empty except for the driver)? Nope. It lands on a sculpture of a whale. On the tail. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/02/world/europe/whale-sculpture-netherlands-train.html?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20201103&instance_id=23740&nl=the-morning®i_id=118682468&segment_id=43300&te=1&user_id=94f58d5b96ea75e238c5bfb8bc8f5a2c -
Got some news for you - It's equally sad from an 'insiders' point of view. But (and it's an important 'but'), it also shows how frightened Trump is. I think he knows deep in his black and malignant heart that he's going to lose. He may try to declare victory and try to get the uncounted ballots thrown out (many mail in or absentee ballots won't be counted for a day or two). And he knows full well that if he tries to pull that sort of garbage that the protests resulting from that will make the BLM marches from last summer look like a kiddie parade.
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Writer with a couple questions
wolfriverjoe replied to JeanLauzier's question in Questions and Answers
A bail out rig would be far more plausible. In the smaller Cessna jump planes, the pilot is required * to wear a rig (parachute). This rig is almost always an 'emergency bailout' rig, identical to what acrobatic pilots wear. For jump planes that are stored in a hangar, this rig is often left in the plane. The chances of a sport rig or student rig being left behind in a plane are very low. Every DZ I've jumped at requires all jumpers to be fully geared up before they get on the plane. * - My understanding is that the pilot is required to wear a rig. There has been 'more than a little' discussion about the reality of this requirement, where it comes from, how necessary it is, and on and on. However, every small Cessna (182, 206) I've jumped from had the pilot wearing a rig. -
PSA - COVID-19 going into the fall/winter
wolfriverjoe replied to billvon's topic in Speakers Corner
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Writer with a couple questions
wolfriverjoe replied to JeanLauzier's question in Questions and Answers
First off, most emergency 'bail out' rigs are round canopies (parachutes). Not unlike what the old style paratroopers used. Those are not terribly maneuverable, so a tree landing is totally realistic. However, getting out of the rig while up in the tree is less so. It can be done, but the way the leg straps are set up, they need to be 'unweighted' to unhook. If her body weight is on them, it's hard to unhook the connectors. Doable, but difficult. Most bailout rigs don't have the ability to release the canopy the way sport mains do. And Mark's comment above about the danger of someone falling from that height is correct. Something to understand - Tree landings aren't common for sport jumpers, but they do happen. Students are taught to sit tight and let someone come rescue them. The risk of getting hurt from falling out of the rig and out of the tree trying to get down is a lot higher than just sitting and waiting for help. If you want a somewhat more plausible rescue scenario, have the girl swinging from the tree, with the canopy snagged up higher. The secondary character could climb up the trunk of the tree, snag her somehow, pull her into the trunk where she could get a good grip, get out of the harness and climb down. Hope this helps. So many authors try & fail to write this sort of stuff. The details aren't all that hard to get right, but it's really easy to get them wrong. -
There are a few reports coming out that Trump plans to declare victory before the official count is in. No clue what he plans to accomplish, or how he plans to hold onto power if he loses the election, but then again, I have no clue what he's thinking when he spouts most of his crap.
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PSA - COVID-19 going into the fall/winter
wolfriverjoe replied to billvon's topic in Speakers Corner
No, peat moss & bull shit are rather different. And do you want the American Peat Moss producers to starve? Are you trying to deny them the opportunity to market their fine, fine, US made product all over the continent? What are you some sort of commie? (yes, I'm getting just a bit silly here) -
PSA - COVID-19 going into the fall/winter
wolfriverjoe replied to billvon's topic in Speakers Corner
Did he say he was delivering Canadian peat moss to the US? What if he's using the peat moss as a back haul and taking 'good old American Peat Moss' up to Canada? -
PSA - COVID-19 going into the fall/winter
wolfriverjoe replied to billvon's topic in Speakers Corner
Ahhhhh. Gotcha. Thanks. -
Yeah? Do a bit of research on the legality of booby traps. And conservatives don't behave like that. They try to run busses full of people off the road. Or go into protests carrying rifles and shoot protesters. Or light bales of hay that say "Biden" on fire. Or drive around protests spraying bear spray and shooting paintballs.
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PSA - COVID-19 going into the fall/winter
wolfriverjoe replied to billvon's topic in Speakers Corner
How will the coming winter change the demand for peat moss? Or have any abnormal effect on the supply chain? Big snowstorms have the ability to slow stuff down, or even stop it for a few days. But that's not unusual. I'm getting ready for winter, but that primarily consists of adding warm clothes, a bit of extra food and some handwarmers to my gear bag. What, exactly, are you predicting? -
Nah. The "Brownshirts" are down in Texas. The ones waving Trump flags while attacking a Biden bus and cars behind it. The unidentified federal troops (turned out to be US Marshalls), driving unmarked vehicles, grabbing people off the street for no reason (they admitted it was 'preemptively'), using clubs to break the hand of the veteran who simply asked if they thought that the their actions were in obedience to the oath they swore to uphold the constitution, using tear gas and pepper balls against unarmed and nonviolent women, those were the 'Secret Police'. The Gestapo. And yeah, as Billvon pointed out, my father fought against Nazis. Real ones. I remember when Nazis & KKK were vilified as racists and fascists. Not admired by the Republicans.
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PSA - COVID-19 going into the fall/winter
wolfriverjoe replied to billvon's topic in Speakers Corner
I've mentioned it a couple times. So did Gowlerk. The supply chain is intact and functioning. Despite Ron's hopes and prayers, the "S" isn't going to "HTF" anytime soon due to food shortages. -
I don't know for sure, but given that just about every suit and pants/jacket setup is custom made, I'd be really surprised if they can't be ordered. I'd start with the folks that have been around for a while, they may still remember what you are talking about. Personally, I'm partial to Tony. But Bev and a few others have been around that long (can't think of anyone else at the moment).
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You mean unarmed protesters, including veterans, who are peacefully protesting until the Gestapo beat them with clubs? Or peaceful protesters outside the White House who were attacked so that the President could have a photo op holding a Bible in front of a church? Or the ones in North Carolina, peacefully marching to the polls, when police & sheriff's deputies attack them with pepper spray? Fortunately, this entire debacle was recorded on video. From what I've read, this is going to make for a pretty good lawsuit. Funny how the sheriff has previously behaved so 'well' that the Justice Dept sent election monitors to the county in 04, 08 & 12.
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PSA - COVID-19 going into the fall/winter
wolfriverjoe replied to billvon's topic in Speakers Corner
Bullshit. Pure & simple bullshit. (notice that I don't feel the need to use asterisks to pretend that I didn't say that). Back during the previous "FULL LOCKDOWN" (which really wasn't), the only shortages we suffered were a result of idiots panic buying and cleaning off the shelves of certain things. Kinda funny how it was only one item at a time. I drive truck, pulling a refrigerated trailer. Mostly food. Last spring, I was initially worried that we would face supply chain issues. It didn't take long to realize that truck traffic hadn't dropped much, if at all. On the roads, at the shippers and consignees (the place the load goes to), in the truck stops & rest areas (parking can be tough to find in some places). The food processors were affected to a degree. Some were shut down for periods of time due to outbreaks. But there were never any real shortages of meat or anything else. The one positive of the shutdown last spring was traffic. Since a lot fewer people were going to work, the normal heavy traffic in the major cities (I go through Chicago & Boston on a regular basis) was a lot lighter. It was both really cool and really strange to burn through downtown Chicago at 4 pm at full speed. The Chicago news radio station that gives the best traffic reports (WBBM) even suspended those during non-rush times. Normally they give a report every ten minutes. I guess they got tired of saying 'there's nothing going on out there'. I don't doubt that we'd see riots if food was really running out. But that didn't happen. Just protests over cops shooting unarmed black men. The "riots and violence" weren't those protesters. But you choose to ignore that part. -
PSA - COVID-19 going into the fall/winter
wolfriverjoe replied to billvon's topic in Speakers Corner
Don't get your hopes up. Whether it's 'mitigation fatigue' (I like that one), ignorance, science denial, a stupid belief that efforts to stop this are political (Trump supporters are a good example of that idiocy), the reality that some people cannot take all the precautions they would like, or whatever, we aren't going to get this under control. Wisconsin has seen multiple days of over 5k new cases. Total cases since the beginning has topped 200k. Hospitalizations are increasing drastically. There's a 'field hospital' at the big State Fair Park near Milwaukee. It's intended for those hospital patients that are well along the road to recovery and are due to be released soon. Initial reports are that it's a decent facility. Deaths are increasing, although the one positive is that they aren't going up as much. Due to the experience in treating the disease, earlier hospitalizations and the fact that a lot of the new cases are in younger people, the death rate has dropped under 1%. But we're still in big trouble. The governor imposed a mask mandate, but the Republican 'leadership'*( - see below) is suing to get it lifted. Many R lawmakers in Madison are refusing to wear masks in the Capitol, despite both state & county level mandates. So, of course, there's a bunch of cases now showing up among the staffers. People are going to bars & restaurants like nothing is wrong. They're still trying to keep schools open. Near me, there's a recall campaign against several school board members who have been adamant about keeping the schools closed to in-person instruction. Personally, I'm doing as little as possible. Not going anywhere I don't need to, and wearing a mask when in public. The local 182 DZ had the End-of-Season Pumpkin Drop event. It was a bit windy for my taste (not a lot of jumps this year, so my currency/comfort level with winds isn't where it would be) and it was also not warm, so I figured they would close up the hangar. FB pics showed that they did close the hangar and few people were wearing masks. * - I use the word 'leadership' for the R legislators very much tongue-in-cheek. Back in May, they sued to end the shutdown, complaining that they were left out of the decision process, and wanted a 'seat at the table'. After the R dominated State Supreme Court ruled in their favor, the 'seat' that they claimed they wanted stayed empty. They didn't even meet officially as the legislature (they haven't been 'in session in 6 months). They claimed that they wanted to allow local jurisdictions to decide what should be done... After arguing in court that a 'patchwork' of county level mandates made it too confusing. As far as the virus goes, they're a bunch of clowns. Edit to add: Oh yeah, almost forgot. There was a recall campaign against the governor, because of the spring shutdown. Despite claiming a week or so ago that they had enough signatures to force a recall vote (this would be a vote to decide if the governor should be recalled, if that passed, then there would be another election to choose between the current governor and a R opponent), they said a few days later that they really didn't. Not terribly surprising that the chief organizer has reportedly done prison time for fraud. -
I'd say that 'it depends'. While it's true that there are contests where a few percent decide the outcome, there have been a lot of contests where I can't see enough difference between the candidates to matter anyway. Or contests where there's only one major party candidate running. I've always liked the platform some of the 'middle' 3rd parties have. Not "Labor/Socialist", not "US Constitution" or "Tea Party". So whenever there's been a race that either isn't close, or I don't like (or hate) either of the candidates enough to vote for (or against) either of them, then I'll vote 3rd party. Libertarian most often, but not exclusively. In 2012, I couldn't see enough difference between Obama & Romney to care. In 2016, I hated Trump, but didn't like Clinton. I was foolish enough to trust the polls, even though they were pretty close. No regrets on the first one, and only a little on the second. My biggest surprise was that the percentages of votes for the 3rd parties didn't improve at all in 2016. I was hoping that with both candidates being rather unlikeable, 3rd parties would see a significant increase. I was wrong. And to head off any 'throwing away your vote' comments, I voted for Dole in 96 & McCain in 08. And for a variety of state level candidates over the years who had little or no chance of winning.