olofscience

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Everything posted by olofscience

  1. olofscience
    You're getting confused, Turtle. Yoink said that 2nd-Amendment supporters hold the Constitution as inviolable, and accuses them of not being consistent by ignoring violations of the 1st Amendment. You're arguing that people who think the 2nd Amendment should be abolished are being inconsistent, because they want to keep the 1st Amendment. Besides the large gap in the logic, you're not addressing yoink's argument directly. You're basically doing an ad hominem - attacking the credibility of the arguer, rather than arguing against their argument. Seriously, stop with the pretense about being unbiased.
  2. olofscience
    And yet most of your posts are criticising people who are criticising Trump. You don't apply any mathematics or science to your so-called "critical" thinking, which really just appears to be making excuses for Trump. Yep, yours too as a so-called "centrist". I should have stopped when you defended his disinfectant comments.
  3. olofscience
    By no means are people who criticise Trump perfect (and no one has claimed that), but I suggest you focus your criticism on where 80% of the childish insults are coming from. (hint: it's not that article)
  4. olofscience
    So when Trump was throwing out insult after insult during his election campaign, it was okay then?
  5. olofscience
    Okay. Since I have other things to do, my preliminary analysis used some automated tools on the text DJL posted, namely the ATOS text analyser: This means that the article you criticise to be written by a 12-year old, actually has the language level of 11th Grade, which is 16-17 year olds. Trump's language is more like 9-11 year olds. So...are you still going to stick with your accusation that this conservative, George F Will, is writing like a 12-year old?
  6. olofscience
    And the strangest thing about it is that Turtle defended, at length, Trump's statements about disinfectants and UV, which was positively infantile. It's well known that Trump's language is extremely simple, probably below that of a 12 year old. They actually have a scientific paper about it: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/1478929917706844 Maybe I can run that George F Will article through the same analysis, then we can settle the debate. Turtle, as a self-declared centrist, would you like to subject them to a fair and balanced scientific analysis?
  7. olofscience
    Trump tweets like a toddler, do you read those too?
  8. olofscience
    From your defence of Trump's disinfectant comments, I presume you have no technical or scientific background. Neither does it seem that you have a legal background. So I'm not sure you have much evidence to back up your "critical thinking" methodology. Although looking at possibilities is an important part of critical thinking, what's more important is PROBABILITY - and this requires training as our brains are just not very good at calculating probability (for example, Bayes' theorem - the very famous example of the Monty Hall problem). So simply saying you're doing "critical thinking" is actually similar to saying you're doing "research" by googling. You're not really doing it properly, just only a tiny percentage of the work needed. TL;DR: Your "critical" thinking is as rigorous as a bit of googling is "research", which is not at all.
  9. olofscience
    I believe your words, exactly, were: To answer this question, I think it has been distracted and preoccupied by killings of healthy, non-infected, non-white people. Yes, we've heard his excuses, and yours too.
  10. olofscience
    You didn't have any outrage against Trump's failure to save so why are you suddenly looking for it?
  11. olofscience
    You went silent for a while too, after spending all that effort twisting logic to conclude that "Trump could have done a few things better" regarding the pandemic when there's now 100,000+ dead, and discarding all the comparisons to other countries who did manage to control the pandemic more effectively. Trump's effectively given up on covid-19, it has defeated him. You want to bring that up? You're digging yourself into a hole.
  12. olofscience
    Brilliant. Now here's a BloombergNEF report that estimates that EVs will be 58% of global passenger vehicle sales by 2040: https://bnef.turtl.co/story/evo-2020/page/3/1. I, for one, will be buying a Tesla next year. Looking forward to switching from my maintenance-heavy diesel.
  13. olofscience
    Okay we can take you up on this wager, if more than 50% of cars sold in 2040 are electric, you're wrong. I'll add it to your "Tesla will be bankrupt in 5 years" prediction for 2023.
  14. olofscience
    Maybe it's not too bad - if he can't hold pretend arguments with flimsy logic then declare how right he is and everyone else is wrong, imagine what his family might have to put up with...
  15. olofscience
    Really? Where did you get the 120 year estimate of replacement from? Do you know what technologies are being developed now?
  16. olofscience
    this is brenthutch you're talking about right? This basically sums up why he keeps trolling: He is not interested in any pesky facts, or logical arguments. It's just the same thing, over and over. He just desperately needs to say that he's right and others are wrong.
  17. olofscience
    That's correct, the preferred term is actually "Static Line Progression System", but just calling it RAPS is still quite popular. It starts off with several static line deployment jumps then progresses into freefall.
  18. olofscience
    I got my BPA A licence doing RAPS. To clarify, I did NOT change to AFF at any point, and have never done any AFF jumps.
  19. olofscience
    Absolutely incorrect. I went through RAPS along with several other people I know. I am now a BPA 'C' licence holder. The minimum is 18 jumps, I took slightly more at 24 jumps, other people I know took between 18 and 40 jumps. The level repeat & drop out rate is higher than AFF, but if you make few mistakes it's a lot cheaper overall. No, you will need a refresh of emergency procedures. Currency for a student is valid for 30 days if I remember correctly. It's all in the BPA Ops Manual: https://britishskydiving.org/wp-content/uploads/archive/Operarions-Manual-1984.pdf
  20. olofscience
    That does a tremendous number on the lungs, almost like a cleaning, I bet.
  21. olofscience
    I'd mostly agree with this one, but the hardest hit European countries' rates are now at the tail end with lowering rates. The worrying bit is some areas in the US haven't reached their peak yet. Unfortunately I'd also put the UK at the bottom as well...I really wish we weren't, I live here. But hey, we voted an incompetent government in.
  22. olofscience
    Then why do you see "take your meds" as coming close to a personal attack? You chose to perceive it as such. Illusions of strength, getting a bit more concerning. Good, keep waiting.
  23. olofscience
    sure. Is that not a ethnic slur?
  24. olofscience
    You sound exactly like a jihadi. That's what they want too - a war between Christianity and Islam. More worryingly, you sound like the New Zealand shooter. In his manifesto he said: He then proceeded to kill 50 innocent people. Your ethnic slurs were needless and uncalled for.
  25. olofscience
    I at least agree with most of this, except for the snipped part. South Korea was massively set back by one infected person breaking quarantine and attending a religious service with 9,000 other people. But they still scrambled and ramped up their response to get it under control. It's not the absolute size of New Zealand that was the factor - all outbreaks start small. But exponential growth means that if you don't stop it early, the tracing methods would be overwhelmed as you said.