base698
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Everything posted by base698
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That when you saw that graph like I did in 2020 you should have dumped all your cash for Bitcoin, stock and real estate.
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> The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks.
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https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/05/health/herd-immunity-usa-vaccines-alone/index.html
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"Almost". Does BCG wane to zero after six months?
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Yeah because I'm not going to dig up every headline where he was quoted. I mispoke because I saw that clip a weeks ago when it first went viral. My original question was around the idea someone could call any covid vaccine the most effective ever. Almost every vaccine I'm aware of is better. The stated high effectiveness no booster littered the media on March and April. Whether it was 90% or 99%. That's much different than 40%-60%. If you want to quibble over a mistake I made with 3% cool. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principle_of_charity Des Pfizer have an incentive to get everyone to buy their product on a recurring plan?
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Only if you're uncharitable.
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https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/04/30/covid-vaccine-fauci-urges-americans-to-not-skip-second-shot.html Here he says 94%. Outright lie is strong language for a 3% difference. Considering it's more like 40% at the end of the five month window. Anything in the 90s seem more like the lie.
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Ok. Here's dozens of headlines and clips of Fauci saying it would be 97% effective. https://mobile.twitter.com/joshfontanilla/status/1449184261811154949 Fact check using the claim he said it would be 100% effective against covid from March for comments on CNN in December https://apnews.com/article/fact-checking-afs:Content:9996141232
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There are dozens of clips of Fauci claiming 97% percent effective and saying we'd have herd immunity by summer. How is 45% effective and constant boosters the most effective vaccine in the world?
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From the director of Airplane! https://www.commentary.org/articles/david-zucker/wokeness_destroys-comedy/ > Or when they pressure writers to remove jokes that are otherwise perfectly offensive. As a result of these fear-based decisions, some of the best contemporary comedy minds are abandoning laughter in favor of admittedly brilliant but serious projects such as Joker, directed by Todd Phillips, and Chernobyl, written by Craig Mazin. These men collaborated on two of the Hangover pictures, which struck gold at the box office. Phillips summed up the general plight of the comedy writer when he said, “It’s hard to argue with 30 million people on Twitter. You just can’t do it. So, you just go, ‘I’m out.’”
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"Immune to junk antigens" still means you have more opportunity to stop the infection instead of relying on a single one.
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https://www.nature.com/articles/s41423-021-00779-5 "Life finds a way" Who could have predicted that?
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CDC published data of vaccinated vs not, even with age groups. https://mobile.twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1448826680043212802 https://www.fastcompany.com/90687783/chances-of-getting-covid-after-a-vaccine-cdc-tool-shows-breakthrough-cases-for-pfizer-moderna-jj
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Yeah woops. Missed a zero. Good catch. Anyone know what the ratio of hospitalized to death is? Iirc it was something like 10x.
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I personally would not choose or fret over < 100 in 100k risk between two options. Second I have not seen anything stating hospitalization rate exceeds 2 in 100k for under 18. At the worst rate. If you go by current CDC deaths the number under 18 is 499. 74 million kids. .0000067 chance chance of death. Say 100x more kids are hospitalized than die and that doesn't even get you to 37 in 100k. As stated hospitalization rate includes people testing positive but admitted for other things. So therefore it's lower.
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A minute risk in 100k of one of the side effects of both. There have been other risks and there is still some unknown risk which is impossible to quantity. Hospitalization with covid could mean someone broke their arm with a positive PCR test. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/09/covid-hospitalization-numbers-can-be-misleading/620062/ But there are many COVID patients in the hospital with fairly mild symptoms, too, who have been admitted for further observation on account of their comorbidities, or because they reported feeling short of breath. Another portion of the patients in this tally are in the hospital for something unrelated to COVID, and discovered that they were infected only because they were tested upon admission. Even if it is actually 37 in 100k anyone worrying about a 37 in 100k risk rate should never leave the house and certainly should never have done a skydive in their life.
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https://www.opensecrets.org/news/2019/10/big-pharma-continues-to-top-lobbying-spending/ Drugmakers have spent more than $129 million through September, slightly down from nearly $133 million at this time last year, but still far more than any other industry
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https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/12/briefing/covid-age-risk-infection-vaccine.html The chart there shows under 1 in 100k for all unvaccinated up to age 50. Way under 1 for under 19. It's based on one location: Seattle which is obviously more healthy on average than Mississippi. > As a point of comparison, the annual risk of death for all vaccinated people over 65 in Seattle this year appears to be around 1 in 2,700. The annual average risk that an American dies in a vehicle crash is lower — about 1 in 8,500 — but not a different order of magnitude.
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https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.08.30.21262866v1 Post-vaccination CAE rate was highest in young boys aged 12-15 following dose two. For boys 12-17 without medical comorbidities, the likelihood of post vaccination dose two CAE is 162.2 and 94.0/million respectively. This incidence exceeds their expected 120-day COVID-19 hospitalization rate at both moderate (August 21, 2021 rates) and high COVID-19 hospitalization incidence
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You're averaging over all age groups. My number is specifically younger men 16-19. In over 85 about 1 in 5 die of covid. In under 18 since beginning of 2020 only 499 have died (less than 1 in 100k).
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https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2021/10/covid-vaccine-related-myocarditis-rare-usually-mild-studies-say > The myocarditis risk difference between the first and second dose was 1.76 cases per 100,000 people (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33 to 2.19), or less than a 0.002% incidence. The largest difference was among male recipients 16 to 19 years, who had 13.73 cases per 100,000 people (95% CIs, 8.11 to 19.46)—but even that level amounts to only a 0.014% incidence. 13 in 100k is worse than the covid rate which is why it's being suspended for those under 30 in non-pharma owned states. Moderator warning - BASE698 has demonstrated that he is a poor source of COVID-19 information.
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https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/finland-pauses-use-moderna-covid-19-vaccine-young-men-2021-10-07 Good thing Pfizer is dosed at about 30% of the Moderna "vax". Iceland has banned Moderna as well.
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This is a web archive snapshot for vaccine from 2016: a preparation of killed microorganisms, living attenuated organisms, or living fully virulent organisms that is administered to produce or artificially increase immunity to a particular disease https://archive.is/zrsMV
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Vaccines are really old using actual live virus. Despite mechanics of it presenting an antigen it's different enough I'd argue for a new word. Harmonic mean! It's always exciting to find uses for that in real life. Now when my kid yells at me about what this math is for I can tell him it's for arguing on dz.com.
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Then why are you adding them? You could take the harmonic mean. 2/(1/1.3)+(1/2.9) which gets the value they show, ~1.9 when selecting all under 18.
