brenthutch
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Everything posted by brenthutch
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As this drags on, I am starting to think the Russian conventional military is a bit of a paper tiger. The much reported “40 mile convoy” is stalled and likely to remain so as it runs out of fuel, food, water, maintenance… all the while being harried by Ukrainian forces. In the south they simply don’t have the manpower to occupy a belligerent populous. Personal and weapons continue to flood into Ukraine while the Russian forces continue to be attrited by a motivated and increasingly well supplied insurgency.
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Well you guys mocked the investors when drillers were going bankrupt, now that they are raking in the bucks you still complain. Don’t you lefties like $7 gas? It’s like a carbon tax that never has to go through Congress.
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My “talking point” was predicated on the Keystone XL being approved during the Obama/Biden administration.
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Western Ukraine is beyond the reach of artillery and rockets and ballistic missiles can be intercepted with modern surface to air systems
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So why the big hubbub if it was a nothing burger to begin with. Apparently a lot of bandwidth was wasted on both sides on a pipeline that did nothing. The environmental wackos said it would be “game over for the environment” the right said it would help our energy independence and you say it wouldn’t matter one way or another. Is that right?
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Yup, only it’s oil was.
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If that is the case, why was it opposed? If it wasn’t going to make a difference why did Michael Mann say “if Keystone is approved, it will be game over for the climate”?
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The Keystone XL would be delivering oil to Texas which has massive refining capacity easily making up for any Russian oil lost in the event of a boycott. The Biden administration’s policy is to have Iran and Venezuela fill the gap instead
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Is that because of lack of production or lack of refining capacity in the Midwest?
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I started this thread last October. Events in Ukraine just accelerated the trend. A simple “You were right Hutch, sorry for calling you a dead ender” would be appropriate
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“Quantity has a quality all its own.” Joseph Stalin
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Given the performance of GB in the Pacific theater his omission is understandable.
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1 million rounds? That means RC and company will have to cut “range day” short next weekend
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I didn’t know about his view on the matter until I saw it on the morning shows on Sunday. If I actually did copy him I imagine I would have done a better job. My inspiration was the Yom Kippur war of ‘73. BTW I never was advocating for that I just said it was possible without thousands of troops and hundreds of planes, in response to SkyDekker’s post.
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Same with oil and natural gas. If $6.00 gas doesn’t get everyone into an EV, nothing will. I suspect what actually will happen is $6.00 gas and the ensuing profitability will result in a boom of development which will drive gas back under $3.00 (post crisis) and everyone will just keep driving their big SUVs.
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If the Biden/Obama administration had not canceled the Keystone we would have a more efficient delivery system in place. How’s that?
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https://climatechangedispatch.com/off-the-charts-coal-prices-surge-as-western-nations-shun-russia/ “These prices are absolutely off the charts,” said James Stevenson, an analyst who tracks the coal industry at Oil Price Information Service. “This means people are really desperate for prompt coal delivery.” Where are the “coal is dead” guys now?
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Kurt Volker former US ambassador to NATO, likes my idea.
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No, I don’t think you do.
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I never advocated for a no fly zone, I just said it could be done without hundred of planes and thousands of troops. I agree that creating a no-fly zone over the entirety of Ukraine would require the level of force you and SkyDekker are suggesting. I simply pointed out that a much more modest zone could be established with much less. I even gave a real world example.
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Grozny and Syria did not have the population, topography or support that Ukraine has. And Russia did not suffer the level of sanctions they are now being subjected to. I expect things to turn out much differently. The longer this goes the worse it looks for Putin
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Why are you so worried about what Putin will “go for”. He doesn’t need an excuse. He will do what he will do. The only question is what WE will do.
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“Mr Putin we are establishing a buffer zone to reduce the chance of an accidental engagement between NATO and Russia.” It is naive to believe Putin needs a legitimate reason for escalation. After all, he justified the invasion as a quest to denazify the jewish leadership of Ukraine
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APC (armored personnel carrier) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BMP-3 Tank https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T-90
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Wrong on many levels. First it is Ukraine not “the Ukraine” second, third and forth, it doesn’t require massive numbers of ground troops, doesn’t require hundreds of aircraft nor does it require a large logistical tail. Here is an example of a no-fly zone being enforced by a single soldier. https://www.theguardian.com/global/video/2022/mar/05/ukraine-claims-footage-shows-them-shooting-down-russian-military-helicopter-video Simply scale up. The Mujahideen and Taliban effectively had a no-fly enclave in Pakistan and look how well it worked fir them.
