
olofscience
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Everything posted by olofscience
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Two feet of global warming devastate the NE
olofscience replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
Using the vaguest words possible with that wording, you should take up writing horoscopes! Yes horoscopes are still pretty popular these days for "predictions" -
Two feet of global warming devastate the NE
olofscience replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
No, he barely reads more than the TITLE before reposting. He doesn't get to the first paragraph...ever. Then he even gets the title wrong... -
Two feet of global warming devastate the NE
olofscience replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
I tried to get him to make an actual prediction, it was like trying to nail jell-o to a wall... -
You actually seem confused what people will do for principle. According to you those NASA scientists who agree with climate change are only in it for the money, yet when Joni or Neil do something out of principle, it's only because they don't need the money. In both cases you're extremely condescending...
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One of the factors was that electric vehicles usually used fewer, but more advanced chips, and ICE vehicles used hundreds of less-advanced chips so they were impacted more with the shortage. One thing about the more advanced chips is that they take up less space on a silicon wafer so you can make more of them per wafer. There's also more available silicon fab capacity available at the high end rather than the low end.
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Irony meter has exploded again. Why does this thing keep breaking
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Thanks! I obviously didn't come up with it, but it was just so noticeable that brent decided to attack me instead of addressing the point. The pandemic has been great for electric car sales
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Tesla EV tax credits ended in 2019, but somehow the complaining continues. I wonder why? Probably because they continue for the other companies like Ford/etc who were going to make Tesla bankrupt by next year?
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Struck a nerve, have I?
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The Stone Age didn't end because they ran out of stones.
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I think that was the sound of SC's irony meter exploding...
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And CO2 must have been really high in 1986 and 1988 compared to 2018!
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So according to your graph, 2018 had quite a lot of cyclones. Was it because CO2 was at a record low then?
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I rest my case
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You made half a dozen negatives against strawmen arguments, not predictions exactly the point of why I was trying to get you to make an actual, specific prediction and you (predictably) avoided. Me "contradicting" them means falling for your strawman arguments, no thanks
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Still too vague becoming quite obvious that you don't know what you're talking about isn't it?
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Still too vague. By how much? Also, why 2015 or 2016?
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I said global anomaly of 1.10. ...you do know what a global anomaly is, right? So for example if 2021 was at 1.10, then being within 0.01C of that means 1.09 to 1.11. So...can you answer the question now?
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crickets...
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By the way, you haven't answered my question about making your temperature prediction for 2022 more specific. Will 2022 be 10th warmest? Will the global anomaly be more or less than 1.10 C?
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Well here's another (unfortunate) prediction - some weather organisations have identified that there's a "double-dip" La Nina (which made 2021 cooler, among other effects) and the ENSO oscillation won't shift to El Nino until the end of the year, so we'll probably be seeing more of his "the warming has paused!" posts until approximately mid-summer. Then when the El Nino starts hitting at the end of 2022 and into 2023, we'll see him shift to a different type of post.
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Still working in vague negatives I see Let's pin that down - are you saying 2022 will be on average within 0.01C of 2021?
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Notice how almost all his "predictions" start with "I don't think" - because negatives are usually more difficult to disprove, but he also puts gigantic loopholes in them so he can wriggle out easily. Using words like "skyrocket" or "suffer high energy costs" so that he doesn't have to put a number on them.
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Some are sad.
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Met Office, December 2020: "2021 will be slightly cooler than 2020 due to the La Nina, but is still expected to be the sixth warmest year on record at approximately 1.0C higher than the baseline". (proved spot on by Jan 2022) Brent, January 2021: "I do not think global temperatures will skyrocket" One is a prediction, the other is a joke