olofscience
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Everything posted by olofscience
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But you didn't write that article...and you're taking credit for stuff that people don't have the time to answer? This dubious claim for an A+ makes you look like you've never gotten one. Not surprised though.
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And in billvon's simile all three witnesses had the same view. what was that quote - "The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt." (Bertrand Russell) Lots of people are so proud of announcing their certainty here...
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FIFY. Glad to know you're now advocating for reducing fossil fuel use.
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The main problem is in the article you linked to - it's a non-story. You can't suppress a story that doesn't exist.
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but after 4 pages of back and forth, you still haven't provided a new story. not to mention any evidence it was suppressed...
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Yes, but conversely the effects also destroy market value. Just ask the snowsports industry, for example. I guess it's not a black/white situation - my analogy was on the extreme end, but there's a continuum between "completely relying on the free market" to "completely centrally managed by the government". I'd say that the government needs to be more involved, by setting policy, legislation, AND providing funding. While free markets are quite efficient, they also result in Nash equilibria which makes them extremely short-sighted.
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That's like instead of having an army, you just sell guns to ordinary people and hope "the free market" enables people to organise and execute complex military operations. While it HAS happened before, there's a benefit to having actual organisation and leadership. This can also apply to lowering CO2 emissions.
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...I think you just cracked the case, Sherlock!
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Yes.
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Nothing from the NOAA stating there's a cooling climate. In fact they say quite the opposite. You'll post lots of numbers and data (which you still can't process properly) and not actually provide an NOAA quote, so I won't wait around. Stop trying to boost your credibility with theirs. It's not going to happen.
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Nope.
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Thank god for that...
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That's funny because Trump showed every sign of being afraid of Putin. Trump is also afraid of Xi Jinping - he'd act all tough for the media, but when actually meeting Xi in person he suddenly turns into a fawning fan. Then back to being "tough guy" as soon as Xi leaves the room. There was an interesting movie several years back - "The Ghostwriter" - which was about a UK Prime Minister getting elected who was actually handled by a CIA agent. Who knew it would actually happen, in a way...
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War is a negative-sum game. The winner also loses.
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That's why Putin was overconfident about Ukraine. Nobody did anything when he invaded Georgia. He contaminated parts of London with Polonium-210 when he assassinated a dissident. No consequences. Chemical attack in Salisbury. Still nothing from the west. Managed to spread enough fake news to trigger Brexit. Even got his candidate elected as US president! Everything was going his way until that pesky covid-19 happened, have you seen his long tables?
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What can I say, I'm an optimist
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Processes are usually classified, but I'd imagine they do some X-ray inspection for cracks, then possibly some chemical testing or radiation flux measurement to verify the composition due to nuclear decay. But I really have no idea. Maybe inspecting the surrounding components (chemical explosives, intiators etc) on how they're holding up under the radiation flux? Pu-239 decays quickly enough that the cores will feel warm to the touch. Not as much as Pu-238 which glows red hot though.
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Only about 1,000 warheads are deployed. Rest are in storage.
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Nope, it's this year. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-00550-4
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Mariupol is 60-80% Russian speaking. And since Putin is now shelling it into oblivion, I'd say it's probably 100% anti-russia. As brent said - Putin can't hold Ukraine.
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USSR got 15,000 soldiers killed in action in Afghanistan over 10 years. Compare that with 6,000 KIA in Ukraine according to US intelligence. In 2 weeks. (and that's not even believing the Ukrainian estimate of 12,000 KIA)
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Military buildup around Ukraine started around March 2021. So this indicates Putin had already decided, or at least seriously considering an invasion a full year ago. This means that he's probably plotted what he'll do next year.
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As you said - in this context. In the wider context, Putin himself has expressed an interest in rebuilding the USSR, and he'll probably pursue that with no prompting necessary. Hopefully pack up and withdraw. But remember - Biden was warning that Putin had already decided to invade a week before, and lots of people spent a week mocking that warning, especially the Moscow media. None of the diplomatic efforts in the weeks and days before the invasion worked, so it does seem like Putin is the stubborn rather than the adaptable type of person. He may already have decided his end game, and nothing NATO does will change it, except maybe for when. Either way we have to be prepared for the worst.
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As said here many times - Putin has never needed any provocation before, and he won't need any provocation in the future. Bullies will do what they want. To stop them you have to hit back as hard as you can.
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Plutonium in the warheads is extremely unstable - they need to be inspected regularly and completely replaced approximately every 10 years. Otherwise, they'll 'fizzle' instead of detonate. Tritium in boosted weapons also needs to be replaced every few years. Nuclear weapons are extremely expensive to build and maintain - the US spends that much on its arsenal, and the Russian arsenal is bigger so they should be spending more if they're maintaining them to the same standard. But who knows if they are? A question you really can't afford to get wrong...
