
base698
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Everything posted by base698
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I was curious how boomer libs (older Gen X and boomer) took the loss. I'm a Xennial and most of my discussions are with people in the age range of 35-50. I've found the discussion here enlightening and very different than with younger Never Trumpers. Broadly younger people seem to understand in a democracy people have different view points. You can campaign and hope your pet issue takes the forefront but that won't always be the case. "My mom died of an overdose, and JD Vance has direct experience with this issue". YOU SHOULD HAVE THOUGHT OF IMMIGRANTS AND ABORTION is why you lose and will continue to lose. The blanks spaces are part of the encoding in a bar code, without them the bar code is meaningless. Like a true liberal you have no idea how reality works.
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_problem A Fermi problem (or Fermi quiz, Fermi question, Fermi estimate), also known as an order-of-magnitude problem (or order-of-magnitude estimate, order estimation), is an estimation problem in physics or engineering education, designed to teach dimensional analysis or approximation of extreme scientific calculations. Fermi problems are usually back-of-the-envelope calculations. The estimation technique is named after physicist Enrico Fermi as he was known for his ability to make good approximate calculations with little or no actual data. Fermi problems typically involve making justified guesses about quantities and their variance or lower and upper bounds. In some cases, order-of-magnitude estimates can also be derived using dimensional analysis.
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What percentage of online harassment leads to actual damage compared to rape? I'd wager 100% of rapes cause irreparable harm to the victim. What percentage of mean Internet comments do irreparable harm? Do you think stopping online harassment would lead to a decline in real harassment? Back to my question, what percentage of funds deserve to target online harassment? 3% of the population has antisocial personality disorder. If Trump went away today and all his supporters what would that do to online harassment? Do those 3% of the population continue to harass online or is it online utopia where all content is cat videos?
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Are there any other possibilities you can think of?
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It doesn't appear to be since it's rarely prosecuted and rarely results in real-world cross over. If you had $1,000,000 to spend to investigate crimes of rape, real world harassment, domestic violence, and online harassment, how much would you allocate to prosecuting online harassment?
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It's click bait. This time MAGA is the villain, previously online trolls, mens rights activists, gamers. Real world harassment is barely prosecuted or taken seriously. And when it is it's in select cases (rich victim, famous victim). Online harassment is taken less seriously. It has the advantage it is rampant, crosses demographics and existed prior to MAGA or Trump so any narrative can be written to write a story about.
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Repeat of a previous storyline a decade old https://thelastpsychiatrist.com/2014/05/cyberbll.html > So in order to explain their otherwise irrational feeling of impotence, they pull from any of the media-approved categories of blame, depending on your news network: sexism, racism, feminism. The central importance of the media in soliciting their anger is totally lost on the older "activists" who still believe that the -ism is the primary force. They're enraged that a white Princeton student would dare to write that white privilege doesn't exist; they never wonder why they read it.
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It's the part we printed not spent, so maybe? All of it was given to the billionaires.
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Some of them get it -- Sullivan Before the Election
base698 replied to base698's topic in Speakers Corner
The proof is they spent $14.7 billion dollars and it got a lot worse. You can speculate on whatever reason you think it is. I don't think it's possible to be total mismanagement, total fraud, or total problem being hard. -
Some of them get it -- Sullivan Before the Election
base698 replied to base698's topic in Speakers Corner
Shutdown the Cathedral/Iron Polygon. He's said it directly. Original point, I think he's more capable of whatever oligarchs were supporting Harris. -
And now he's the 3rd most powerful person in the world. Must be an off chance.
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Some of them get it -- Sullivan Before the Election
base698 replied to base698's topic in Speakers Corner
I didn't completely flush it out. A quick search made it look like up to 60% of gov spend went to donor class. I'll back peddle back to my original point that money doesn't seem to fix homelessness. My complete fucking guess is that it's because it's "stolen" or mismanagement. My reason for using Dem donor is that California is dem leaning and that article mentioned the money spent there, so it stands to reason some percentage higher than average would go to those donors. -
Some of them get it -- Sullivan Before the Election
base698 replied to base698's topic in Speakers Corner
How many electric cars were on the road in 2008? How much of that is due directly to subsidies? Let's say it's half. That's still a paradigm shift, hell even Ford has a total EV mandate and every other manufacturer is playing in the market seriously now. Same for rockets. How many launches now vs 2010? What's the probability we go to moon this decade vs in 2010? When someone has success in multiple domains and it looked impossible when they started I'm inclined to give them a shot. -
Off chance? You think he just gave his support, bought twitter for 44 billion and millions of dollars direct to R causes for an off chance? Yes, agree on the bad dad thing.
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No kidding. I've spent all morning arguing it's not only the trans issue and misery makes strange bedfellows. Now that Elon is next to Trump you think that will continue?
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Some of them get it -- Sullivan Before the Election
base698 replied to base698's topic in Speakers Corner
I just posted a study. I meant to add if you are a shitlib it's 10%, if you are MAGA it's 90%. I'd wager 80% given nothing seems to improve when we give billions to any project. Are Musk's companies effective or ineffective? Do you think other oligarchs would do better with the resources? Which ones? -
Yep, "misery makes strange bedfellows". If you think it's just the trans issue great, but there are plenty of other motivating factors. See liberal rag Vox in 2018: https://www.vox.com/the-big-idea/2018/5/30/17405922/elon-musk-twitter-meltdown-tesla-valuation-bubble-model-3-promises-reality
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Some of them get it -- Sullivan Before the Election
base698 replied to base698's topic in Speakers Corner
Politically connected individuals get the rewards, which way does California lean? > A study using American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) data found that politically connected firms were 64% more likely to secure stimulus grants My first claim was just that money spent doesn't lead to positive outcomes. Somewhere between 10% to 90% of spend is corruption and bureaucracy. I'd guess it's at least 80%. -
As are the Dems. Just different ones. WE LIVE IN AN OLIGARCHY. What you are witnessing is this: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Circulation_of_elites
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Some of them get it -- Sullivan Before the Election
base698 replied to base698's topic in Speakers Corner
It was, I don't mean to imply it wasn't. Just the people around him and his signaling indicates this is not the case in 2024. Who do you think owns the commercial properties and hotels? Do you think it's likely to be a republican donor or a democratic one? I bolded it so you wouldn't miss it, yet you focused on the part that was not bold. -
IIRC it was partly about unions and partly about investigations into autopilot. This was partly just the press and when he started to fight back it spiraled. It definitely started as a press problem and morphed into what it is today. It wasn't just the trans issue was my point, and a lot of it stemmed from him fighting regulators, the press and the government for what he saw as the life of his companies. We live in an oligarchy. I support Elon over Reid Hoffman and Marc Cuban.
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Some of them get it -- Sullivan Before the Election
base698 replied to base698's topic in Speakers Corner
Poor (meaning people without a $10 million+ net worth) are propagandized against bankruptcy. He was quoted as saying, "You can grab the bank by the justice system and just stop paying your loans. When you're rich, they let you do it." Is it hard to run a casino? Do you have some kind of knowledge about the number of casinos that go bankrupt vs ones that open? Do you have market analysis for areas and demographics that are more/less risky? -
It is not the same thing. Elon was rich but not powerful in 2021 when lawmakers thought they could belittle him and tweet "Fuck Elon". Now he is both rich and powerful. From Frank Underwood in House of Cards: Thank god Mike Huckabee is rich and not powerful.
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Do you have any examples? I'm aware of the one in Texas where the mother went to the ER 4 times over 24 hours and giving her antibiotics each time. At the last moment they finally determined she needed an abortion and had to do the ultrasound and they portray it as the ultrasound requirement killing her, instead of the doctors making the wrong call 4 times in a row.
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Some of them get it -- Sullivan Before the Election
base698 replied to base698's topic in Speakers Corner
It's an emergency. We have a precedent 4 years ago. If we can prevent free movement selectively for the sniffles I think we can for 100,000 dead a year and the risk of little Jenny inhaling Fentanyl on the subway accidentally.