olofscience

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Everything posted by olofscience

  1. Stop it, you're going to ruin markharju's fantasies of offing the antifa in the riots and civil unrest that follows. I go around in very left-leaning circles, even some extreme leftist idiots, but I've never actually met an Antifa member. According to markharju and turtle they should be everywhere, no?
  2. Food won't run out. Farmers keep working during lockdowns, and food production isn't really affected. Approximately 2.3%* of the population can produce enough food for everyone. But food distribution is - people won't have money for food because of the lockdowns. We don't want farmers to give the food away (or governments to pay them to do so) because we aren't socialists or communists, right? *at least for the EU - source: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Farmers_in_the_EU_-_statistics&oldid=357551
  3. Well, I appreciate that - and no, if Trump supporters are brutally beaten, then I would support throwing the book at the perpetrators as well.
  4. And you think this is hypocritical, when there's still no hard evidence of what has been actually done? But you support a president who tweets in support of Texan trump supporters who harass an opposition campaign bus and drive dangerously, trying to stop it or run it off the road. Now those aren't just allegations - the idiot tweets it out for all to see.
  5. The investigation is into Hunter, and if they had substantial evidence against Joe then they should at least have opened an investigation into Joe, and they would have announced it like they did Hillary last time. Yeah sure, go ahead and wait for the paperwork and be sure to hold your breath, I'm sure it will come soon.
  6. Clinton was 2-3% ahead in national polls, but what's the margin of sampling error? It can go to +/-3% or 4%! So the media was silly back then to be so sure of a Clinton win. Trump won several "Blue wall" states by a margin of less than 1%, so the polls weren't that far off. However people who knew statistics should have known that Clinton did NOT have victory in the bag. Now Biden is up around 10% nationally, and 4-6% in swing states. So if the worst-case error is 4%, then he could tie in those states, but any more than a 4% lead and it's very unlikely it will become a Trump win. So if you're losing sleep over this, learn how statistical errors work and it may help you sleep a bit better. I'm a big fan of Jonathan Pie, but he's pointing again to "hidden Trump voters" - which is not really supported by the data: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-supporters-arent-shy-but-polls-could-still-be-missing-some-of-them/ TL;DR: Trump can still win, but it's unlikely, so as many people as possible should VOTE and encourage others to VOTE, but also don't lose sleep, it's a fine balance but it must be struck.
  7. Again, as long as the Electoral College remains in place, effectively a FPTP system, it will always come down to a 2-party system. Simple mathematics. https://youtu.be/Nd-9op64t2M https://youtu.be/s7tWHJfhiyo
  8. fighting the covid-19 pandemic. A one-word change could have avoided all this, yes "fighting" is a strong word since he's practically given up on it, but it's still hell of a lot better than "ending".
  9. They've been investigating since 2019 and so far, no charges. If there was any evidence they should bring charges, no? They should probably do it soon. Trump should have AG Barr bring the charges ASAP, 3 days left! No? Then STFU.
  10. But Trump also has published his tax retur- oh wait.
  11. Wow, you must be really desperate for an October surprise, with 4 days left. No sources, no independent confirmation, and Hunter's not running for president. Again, needs proving and many of us are on record saying otherwise. Even Fox won't publish this crap.
  12. Nobody was saying the OSTP report claimed that ending the pandemic among the accomplishments of the administration. Everybody was talking about the press release that did. Why are you setting up strawmen?
  13. It's really weird that he describes the left as "raving leftist psychoses" who are "overemotional" when you remove the word "leftist" it pretty much describes him. It actually sounds like he's the most emotional person here.
  14. I'm surprised you haven't heard of it - when it made its first flight, lots of skydivers here noticed. Added link: https://www.flightglobal.com/airframers/all-electric-grand-caravan-makes-maiden-flight/138600.article And the CEO of MagniX who make the motor, is a skydiver. He was interviewed by Pete Allum which I posted here earlier - https://youtu.be/oE1P84Qt2tg
  15. You must have missed the electric C208 already flying: In the UK and Europe the C208 is one of the most common jump planes around. MagniX are going to market it for cargo ops, which is pretty much the exact configuration for skydiving. The 3 DZs near me operate: C208, C208 (3 aircraft), PAC 750XL.
  16. The original was likely removed or changed, as WH communications director has admitted it was "poorly worded": https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackbrewster/2020/10/28/white-house-claim-that-trump-ended-the-pandemic-was-poorly-worded-spokesperson-says/ - they're not denying it If I had was in a football team in the premier league and we were down 16 points halfway through the season, I wouldn't say we were "winning" the league, especially when the past several matches featured own goals. The thing about "ending" vs. "ended" - I've been seeing this from Trump supporters since yesterday, did you get your script late from your handler? I mean, couldn't you choose a more original hill to die on?
  17. They'd be a really good place for a clean-sheet design though. The load alleviation they'll add would come in useful. And if they can take any shear like Elon claims his new cells could, that would be even better.
  18. I'm also aware of this, I was directly involved in several civil aircraft certification programs. Problem is the wings might have been designed for fuel rather than batteries, so it will depend on structural margins. Much of the certification effort goes into the wing loads - luckily limit load scenarios are usually calculated as wings empty - maximum upbend, whereas batteries are always there and will provide load relief in that case. However scenarios such as steep dive and landing at MLW will become the critical cases to certify for. So those will have to be checked, I'm not sure where the batteries are in the Harbour Air DHC-2s but I think conversions could be easier for those aircraft with batteries in bottom cargo like C208s or use the space in front where most of the old engine used to be.
  19. Given how Teslas have held up (one model S has been driven 1 million km) and how easy it is to change battery packs? Changing the battery pack will instantly refresh performance to new and will not be anywhere as invasive as changing a turbine or piston engine for example. No, people will upgrade because there's a newer, better aircraft model available with better performance, probably the clean-sheet electrics. Apple secretly degraded their iPhone performance when the batteries degraded but got caught when some people did battery replacements and found that performance suddenly increased.
  20. They made a few claims in that video: the market has "predicted" incumbent wins or losses right several times before the interviewee then explained why the numbers go up or down based on what the market thinks critically, they did not explain WHERE the markets get their prediction/opinion from. They probably look at the polls, and either agree/disagree with it but there seems to be no other source of information besides the polls, and instinct So sure, they guessed right several times, but they didn't show how the polls were doing when they guessed right. They didn't make those guesses in a vacuum. The markets are made of humans and they don't have any special knowledge that's not available to the general public. Heck, several posters here are investors. Their collective "guess" on who wins is shaped by their personal circumstances and the information they personally get, their demographics might make it different from the polls, but if you take their word as gospel then you're really just using them to process the news and polls for you.
  21. Agreed, I feel much safer in a turbine than a piston but there are still plenty of piston DZs around. However, gearbox reliability IS a limiting issue - turbine power output is actually constrained by this, which is why Pratt&Whitney took more than 20 years to apply them to civil airliners via the GTF. Plenty of helicopters also have systems monitoring for metal chips in the oil system as gearbox failure there is the main killer (although admittedly, fixed-wing turbine safety record is much better than helicopters).
  22. Sure, but they're not really sources of information BEFORE the election. At least, in terms of generating information that can be used to predict the winner. Richravizza uses the stock market as a source of "information", but doesn't really ask where they get their information from. I doubt companies' quarterly financial results contain much information on who might win.
  23. And if you use the stock market to predict the winner, how do the stock market traders know who's going to win? Do they have polls of their own? Even if the big institutional investors had some kind of access to private information, the likely election winner is NOT private information, it's public information because it's the public who decides the winner.
  24. Except for the inability to stop/start them frequently without shortening service life. And their weak point is still the gearbox which electrics can dispense with. Airbus is actually proposing hybrids which have electric motors powered by a turbine - having a fixed torque generator would get the best out of the turbine while overcoming the range and energy density issues of batteries.