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Everything posted by brenthutch
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Slowest start to Atlantic hurricane season…
brenthutch replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
Research suggests something might happen in the future is not the same as something happening today, although a lot of folks on this forum are unable to tell the difference. (FWIW solar panels don’t do so well in a hailstorm) -
Slowest start to Atlantic hurricane season…
brenthutch replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
Did Florida experience a 19.2% increase in storm damage last year? Yup, didn’t think so. -
Slowest start to Atlantic hurricane season…
brenthutch replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
The cost of insurance is up everywhere because of the inflation caused by the Democrats. Actual storm damage has not increased, the cost of storm damage has. -
Slowest start to Atlantic hurricane season…
brenthutch replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
Where is the mitigation? -
Slowest start to Atlantic hurricane season…
brenthutch replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
Try running the numbers for the cost benefit analysis of climate policy. I’ll pop some popcorn while I wait. -
Slowest start to Atlantic hurricane season…
brenthutch replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
Yes and they even gave a 5% chance of this year being below average. I suppose you could say that they did predict a below average year. A prediction that a coin flip would either land on heads off tails is a prediction of little value and certainly not one on which to base policy. -
Slowest start to Atlantic hurricane season…
brenthutch replied to brenthutch's topic in Speakers Corner
NOAA National Weather Service forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center predict above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year. NOAA’s outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which spans from June 1 to November 30, predicts an 85% chance of an above-normal season, a 10% chance of a near-normal season and a 5% chance of a below-normal season. NOAA is forecasting a range of 17 to 25 total named storms Michael Mann and colleagues predict a record-breaking 33 named storms for the 2024 North Atlantic hurricane season. It is the highest count ever projected. If they can’t predict six months out one has to be monumentally stupid to believe that they can predict anything decades from now. -
I agree 100% that we NEVER should have gone all in on Afghanistan and 110% on Iraq. That said once we broke it we owned it and the Afghanistan conflict had settled in to a low intensity conflict with minimal casualties. As long as we had the backs of the ANA things were in a stalemate. Women could work and be educated and things were fairly stable. It could have been managed like Korea.
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Here is your evidence of climate change on US food production https://www.usda.gov/media/blog/2020/03/05/look-agricultural-productivity-growth-united-states-1948-2017 Funny how it keeps getting better, despite the alarmists’ predictions of disaster. Turns out more CO2 and a longer growing season = more food. Who would have thought ?
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With regard to climate change I will refer you to my post on the IPCC’s findings. As far as inflation is concerned the I agree that supply chain disruptions were a contributing factor. As you know inflation is a result from a supply/ demand imbalance. We couldn’t really do anything about the supply side of the equation but we certainly could have mitigated the demand side by not throwing a two trillion dollar money party.
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Chapter 12 of the UN IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, Page 90 of Chapter 12 Climate Change Information for Regional Impact and for Risk Assessment. It essentially charts the UN IPCC’s assessment of the odds that each type of extreme weather is due to climate change…there is no evidence of any increase or decrease, globally or by region, in the frequency, severity or extent of frost, mean precipitation, river floods, heavy precipitation and pluvial floods, landslides, aridity, hydrological drought, agricultural or ecological drought, fire weather or wildfires, mean wind speed, severe wind storms or tornados, tropical cyclones or hurricanes, sand and dust storms, snow glacial or ice sheets, heavy snowfall and ice storms, hail, snow avalanche, relative sea levels, coastal floods, coastal erosion, marine heatwaves, ocean acidity, air pollution weather or radiation at earth’s surface. Isn’t it about time we stop labeling folks “climate change deniers” and instead refer to them as reality observers?
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No Wendy that is a lie. When it comes to weather events, I say they are within historical norms. The inflation the Democrats have caused, is well outside historical norms. 2021: 7%, 2022: 6.5% 2023: 3.4% (A special thanks to SkyDekker for providing the proof of what constitutes historical norms) It reflects poorly on you to say something that is so blatantly false.