labrys

I've got a lot of the same characters, but I suspect that there's a typo in the first clue. I'll try to prove it and then repost Owned by Remi #?

Only in the Air Force, but the "Personal Hygiene" medal has priority. :-) Owned by Remi #?

Heh :-) Check the grammar in your original post. I think it's just a joke. Kinda funny even. Maybe Owned by Remi #?

And greener? Owned by Remi #?

I can make my stomach growl on command. Pretty sad talent. Owned by Remi #?

I hadn't considered that the main would stay in the bag, but it makes sense. I think that the idea that as a beginner (me) it's not a great idea to try to analyze a problem is also very important. Thanks for the feedback. Owned by Remi #?

That makes sense, but what I was thinking was that if you chop the main while it's still in and then deploy the reserve, and then the main works it's way loose, you've still got 2 out either way. Would it be better to deal with having 2 out and both attached, or better to just hope that the chopped main doesn't entangle the already open reserve on it's way out? Owned by Remi #?

Thanks for sharing. It's great to hear that you feel so comfortable with your training. I'm curious about why you chopped with the main still in. though? Owned by Remi #?

Aww.. don't be so hard on yourself. You are 100% right in a way. You are correct in saying that no matter if the host knows which door to open you have a ~33% chance of getting it right if you stick with your original choice. You always have a 1 in 3 chance no matter what. Look at it this way then: If the host opens a door at random without knowing where the prize is, there is an ~33 percent chance that the host will open the door that hides the prize, right? That makes the whole question pointless because the question stated that the prize was not there. So if the host "randomly" opens the door with nothing behind it ( a 1 in 3 chance) then you have a 50% chance that the door you picked is correct.... But, if you start with the idea that you have a 1 in 3 chance then that means that the other 2 doors combined have a 2 in 3 chance. If you add in the fact that the host KNOWS which door has the prize behind it and open one that is not correct, that means that the single remaining door that you did not chose has a 2 in 3 chance of being the winner. Make sense? Owned by Remi #?

Yup.... the simulator will be right 50% of the time as long as you chose the option that the host DOES NOT know which door the prize is behind :-) If the host DOES know which door to open, the odds go up to ~67% that the right door is the one you did not chose Owned by Remi #?

Fallrate PMed the correct answer. Anyone else? Owned by Remi #?

As I have said several times now, I agree that if the "host" knows which door to open the odds are better to switch. If everything is random the odds are even Owned by Remi #?

Inspired by the "3 doors" post: 3 people on a long road trip decide to stop and get a hotel room for the night and share the expense. When they check in the desk clerk tells them the room is $30.00. They each give him $10.00 and go to the room. The next morning, the hotel manager comes in and tells the desk clerk that the room was only supposed to be $25.00. He gives the clerk $5.00 in single bills and asks him to drop off the refund on his way out. The clerk can't figure out how to split the 5 bills between 3 people so he only gives them $3.00 and he keeps the other $2.00 So: If each person paid $10.00 for the room for a total of $30.00 and then got $1.00 back, they each paid $9.00 for the room, or a total of $27.00 The clerk pocketed $2.00. $27.00 + $2.00 = $29.00 What happened to the other dollar? Owned by Remi #?

I pretty much agree with everything, except that in my opinion it's sometimes hard to know what the "intent" was. Some people say offensive things on purpose, others say offensive things without meaning harm. Edited to add: after I thought about it, I realized that my post is dumb Owned by Remi #?

Can you describe your flow chart? In my post I agreed 100% that the odds are better if you switch but ONLY if the first door is opened with the KNOWLEDGE that there is nothing behind it. If you can show me how the odds change when everything is completely random I'd appreciate it. I don't have a PhD in math, only an MS in applied statistics, sorry. Owned by Remi #?

Nope. With 3 doors you do double the odds. In your 4 door example you triple the odds, not double them. You started out with a 25% chance that the door you chose was correct, but by eliminating 2 remaining doors you increased the odds that the 1 remaining door was the "prize" door to 75% Owned by Remi #?

Huh? In the original question, if you assume that the first door was opened randomly and happened to not have a prize behind it, the odds are 50/50 that the prize is behind one of the remaining doors. The odds are not even *slightly better if you switch, they are exactly even. You would, however, have to run the simulator an infinite number of times before you would get that numerical result. If you assume that the first door was opened with the knowledge that nothing was behind it, and realize that you have a 1 in 3 chance of your original choice being correct, then it is clear that the remaining door has a 2 in 3 chance of being the right choice. Better to switch. Owned by Remi #?

http://www.dropzone.com/cgi-bin/forum/gforum.cgi?post=624844;search_string=hard%20deck;#624844 Owned by Remi #?

I'm just flat amazed that nobody has challenged your assertion that the 1st AD, 2nd ACR, and 82nd Airborne soldiers in Bagdhad are REMFs. Amazed. Talk about lack of respect. Have you seen who's dying and where? Owned by Remi #?

Hi Clint! The first thing I thought about when I saw your post was also how great the people I've met at AerOhio have been... then I realized that you were one of the people I was thinking of :-) Owned by Remi #?

Well.... since we're picking a scab that's just started to heal, I'd say there's gonna be some blood. I really haven't been able to form an opinion yet, and I'm damned if I'll let the media try to do it for me. Owned by Remi #?

It's all about the scotch. Owned by Remi #?

I'm just pissed that I didn't get my answers in fast enough. That was a fun way to vent. I agree with you. Owned by Remi #?

I live 5 miles from Canton. I'm there almost every day. Does that make me righter? Why does the HOF website list him as Seahawk? Check the clicky. Did they make a mistake? Edited to add: All in good fun Owned by Remi #?

Try again. He's listed as both :-) Edited to add the HOF team records: http://www.profootballhof.com/index.cfm?section=team&cont_id=182118 Owned by Remi #?