olofscience
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Everything posted by olofscience
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I already predicted that you'd use this argument. So I said, and you seem to have missed it - an El Niño typically ONLY INCREASES TEMPERATURES BY 0.2C. Last year, the temperature increase was MORE THAN 1.5 I may have to start correcting myself. Not only can you not handle things with two or more variables, you're even having trouble with just one.
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Funny, you've spent SO much effort denying that, only to throw all that effort away. Nice, head in the sand time. Let me say this again - I wish you were right and warming isn't a thing (at least some of the time - since you keep changing your arguments). Not least because I love snowsports and it hardly snows in the UK any more. But I'm not the one needing a reality check.
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Back to the topic though: Consider a function y = sin(x) + 0.1x Which term dominates at x = 100? Which term contributes to the greatest change between 0 < x < 2*pi? That's just a very simple example, and global temperature is magnitudes more complicated, but to answer your question, Yes, yes we can have it both ways. You just can't understand, or won't. It's really up to you.
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A few times already...one was on November 16th, 2021.
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This is funny. I keep saying, you can't handle a system with more than one variable, and you keep proving me right.
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Must have hit a nerve. Ad hominem means attacking the person. I was merely describing what he did.
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And Brent implied that those were the consensus definitions left wingers were using. Can't get more dishonest than that. Not only a strawman argument, but deliberately cherry-picked to be deceptive.
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A long-time poster here has strangely missed his usual January "climate update" I'll just put the full 2023 result here: World breaches 1.5C warming threshold for full year (bbc.co.uk) 2023 was by far, the warmest year on record. And to anticipate his excuse "it's only because of the El Niño": While El Niño has given air temperatures an extra boost, it would typically only do so by about 0.2C. Now let's watch his mental gymnastics to say what's NOT the cause of the warming. It will be one for the Olympics. I'll also make another prediction for next January - 2024 probably won't be as warm as 2023 due to normal fluctuations (a La Nina cycle seems to be forming again), but the long-time poster will take that as "proof" that CO2 isn't the cause of the warming (because of his lack of maths ability), so he'll make a January 2025 "update" then saying that.
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I stand corrected then, it was the NASA bit that made me suspicious. Oh no, you must be one of the lizard people! /s :P
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Unfortunately he's probably not a sockpuppet, he's put enough details to show he's not washed up canopy pilot Rhys Kempen. He appears to be a TI, Oliver Schoenfeld, which is good so I can tell people to avoid his logbook app that's on his profile.
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The most common aerofoil sections are still called NACA aerofoils. Oli Vers must be a friend of Rhys/The Hundredth Monkey - they're both based in NZ. We've got a new Rhys...yay.
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Apparently, you've now been captured by the Pentagon's "psyop" as some conspiracy nutters are now claiming: https://www.theguardian.com/music/2024/jan/31/taylor-swift-travis-kelce-super-bowl-rightwing-conspiracy-biden He's calling the stuff he's saying "misinformation" and it's still not registering...
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Well we need it even faster. China's BYD has just overtaken Tesla as the biggest EV manufacturer. Lots of brits here driving around in their MG EVs, Volvo EVs not having any idea that they're actually driving Chinese cars... Or, do as Brent says, just slow down, relax, take a long, deep huff from that ICE exhaust pipe and make fun of EVs until the Chinese perfect solid-state battery tech. So it will be too late. Solid-state tech should also fix the cold weather issues.
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The part where you were dishonest about it.
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Sure, just let the Chinese develop it so that when the west jumps in, it will be too late. Didn't know you were so pro-Xi, comrade.
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"Estimates of the temperature of the Northern Hemisphere more broadly during the Roman Warm Period put average temperatures more around the average temperature of the period between 1960-1990 (e.g., Ljungqvist 2010), so significantly warmer than the periods before and after it, but still cooler than today and less consistently warm than the last few decades (e.g., Luterbacher et al, 2016)." Then we have: "Not even going to break the top five" - Brenthutch, early 2023
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And to add to this, if western car companies decide not to do EVs, guess who's going to be unopposed in taking over the EV market: China.
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They do. Never said they didn't.
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I think it's already being earned - again, not everyone like you does 1000+ mile road trips. Delivery vans which do mostly city driving (stop-start), municipal buses, short range work vehicles have a huge advantage going EV. More than 90 percent of commutes are under 30 miles. Big places like Canada and the USA might not be ideal yet, but in Europe - especially Norway where 80% of new sales are EVs I'd say is prime time already. Government incentives only make the momentum faster, and we need it - 2023 just broke all records as the hottest year in history. So what happened when RCA dismissed transistors? A small company started making tiny, cheap transistor radios with marginal quality and gradually learned how to improve them. The name of that small company? Sony.
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The first steam ships were much slower than the sailing ships of the day. They were only good for riverboats. The Brents of the day believed that sailing ships would never be replaced with anything better. The first hydraulic shovels had much smaller capacity than cable-actuated shovels. Guess which one dominates the market now. The first transistors could handle only a tiny fraction of the power that the best vacuum tubes could. RCA was like Brent - they kept betting on vacuum tubes, until it was too late. The car companies probably learned from the examples above...I would have thought it's covered in the typical MBA curriculum.
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Funny how Nature, or the IEA wasn't good enough for you, except when you're the one quoting. Unlike you, nobody here ever said Bloomberg wasn't a legitimate source. In this case, however, you missed out on context - the report Bloomberg quotes from Cox Automotive actually has a different title: A Record 1.2 Million EVs Were Sold in the U.S. in 2023, According to Estimates from Kelley Blue Book The final sentence of that article: "Regardless, the Cox Automotive Industry Insights team is forecasting more growth in the EV market. The momentum is there and is not going away."
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"2023 wouldn't even make it to the top five" - Brent
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If it reduces the cost and maintenance, why not drive it backwards at low speeds? That's just a controller issue. With profit margins being decimated in a price war, car manufacturers will want to find any cost savings they can get. What is more likely keeping them there are things like ABS not being implemented in regen brakes at the moment due to speed/response times/etc, and regulatory requirements for that, and reliability/redundancy.
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Right now EVs and hybrids have both regenerative braking and friction brakes, doubling the complexity and increasing maintenance costs. I wonder when reliability of regenerative braking will get high enough that some manufacturers will drop friction brakes entirely. With some EVs they actually have to program the friction brakes to engage more frequently than actually needed (for stopping), otherwise the brake discs would rust.
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Brent's stuck on repeat again, could someone please turn him off then on again?
