Recommended Posts
snowmman 3
I like these summaries that just try to collate all the available info, and implications or possibilities, as opposed to one-paragraphs that wrap with "and that's why it's obvious it got hooked on a propeller"
snowmman 3
yeah, the Cowlitz is pretty far away [from the Lewis], and everything seems to say similar stuff wouldn't be happening at the Lewis. But clearly the Columbia is a much more complicated river, at different points, then I had realized.
The stuff about the Mt St Helens debris going upstream in the Columbia (from the Cowlitz entry point) is good too (the book url I posted).
I was intrigued about how they said the stand-still or flow reversal happens at low-flow points/times.
Does it mean anything? Probably not, but good background/context/stuff to muse about.
georger 267
QuoteGeorger observed "I will remind everyone that Quantico did its own analysis of the money, clear back in 80. The FBI has had every opportunity to do further testing analysis over the years, as methods changed and new questions arose."
That's a good point. The show talked about "new" forensic science, but what tools were usable on the money now, that weren't available in 1980? SEM's have been marketed since 1965.
What new tools could Tom bring to bear? Any?
"The SEM was further developed by Professor Sir Charles Oatley and his postgraduate student Gary Stewart and was first marketed in 1965 by the Cambridge Instrument Company as the "Stereoscan". The first instrument was delivered to DuPont."
My theory has always been that Larry is comfortable with hiding information, to the point of apparent deception. (depends on your point of view).
If Larry told us some stuff, why not tell us more about any money analysis? Why hold back anything? (Is he writing a book :)...the classic Cooper-related refrain! :)
In any case, if we take Larry at face value, the FBI analysis must have suggested the money was deposited after the dredging, maybe a couple years before the find. Or am I forgetting what Larry implied?
(edit) There's no new data that suggests any FBI analysis was wrong, Correct?
I cant speak for what the FBI did or did not do
in this case. The technology in 1971 was good. By 1980- it was better. Today it is still better, and more efficient, with a growing body of well trained people. People were already doing multi variant modeling by computer in the 60s. Eg., "Computer Experiments in Fluid Dynamics - Hydrological Modeling" by Harlow & Fromm, Sci Am + Nature, March 1965. Quantico has always been up to date if not ahead of the curve. Quantico has a steady influx and outflow of leading researchers.
Ckret posted here that he wants well-reasoned
arguments backed up with facts and data. I believe
that is his stance and I share that point of view.
snowmman 3
arguments backed up with facts and data. I believe
that is his stance and I share that point of view."
I was wondering if we could agree on the following.
Tom said he pinpointed the dredge plume to be 150 feet away from where the money was found, and used that measurement to claim that the money could have arrived at Tena Bar shortly after the jump, i.e. before the dredging.
Do we all agree that the Fazios spread the sand from the dredging on Tena Bar (their testimony), so that independent of where the initial plume was, from the pipeline dredge, that the spoils likely were spread widely on Tena Bar?
I can't understand how Tom used one measurement, to discount Palmer's report of layers and contents of those layers, when there was straightforward testimony from Fazio that could explain the dispersion of dredge spoils away from the initial plume shown in the aerial photos.
Oh BTW, those aerial photos were shown on the documentary and referred to as "satellite photos"...We know they were aerial right? I don't think they had satellite photos in the '70s like that (they were Corps of Engineers photos if I remember right, for floodplain analysis?)
georger 267
Quotegeorger said "I did and I have just addressed it. Good work! Thanks! "
yeah, the Cowlitz is pretty far away [from the Lewis], and everything seems to say similar stuff wouldn't be happening at the Lewis. But clearly the Columbia is a much more complicated river, at different points, then I had realized.
Well, the Columbia and its environs are a complex
web of interactive elements. This is why its so
important to have some idea about where Cooper
bailed ... which goes back to the fp. Especially if
the money doesn't "blink" a special message....
I came from . . .
377 22
QuoteHey, what about 1300 lb sturgeon! 13 feet! (they're not allowed to lift them out of the water in OR?) pics here
http://www.nwfish.com/...urgeon_fisheries.htm
Wow, some big Sturgeon! Thanks for the info Snow. We have them in SF Bay too, a few HUGE old ones and a lot of younger 4-6 footers.
Nice to see you and Georger engaged in a reasoned discourse on tides, flow and Tena Bar stuff.
That flow reversal info is interesting, with the phenomena extending a lot further upriver than I expected.
377
georger 267
QuoteGeorger said "Ckret posted here that he wants well-reasoned
arguments backed up with facts and data. I believe
that is his stance and I share that point of view."
I was wondering if we could agree on the following.
Tom said he pinpointed the dredge plume to be 150 feet away from where the money was found, and used that measurement to claim that the money could have arrived at Tena Bar shortly after the jump, i.e. before the dredging.
Do we all agree that the Fazios spread the sand from the dredging on Tena Bar (their testimony), so that independent of where the initial plume was, from the pipeline dredge, that the spoils likely were spread widely on Tena Bar?
I can't understand how Tom used one measurement, to discount Palmer's report of layers and contents of those layers, when there was straightforward testimony from Fazio that could explain the dispersion of dredge spoils away from the initial plume shown in the aerial photos.
Oh BTW, those aerial photos were shown on the documentary and referred to as "satellite photos"...We know they were aerial right? I don't think they had satellite photos in the '70s like that (they were Corps of Engineers photos if I remember right, for floodplain analysis?)
Yes, the photos were Corps aerial views given us
by Ckret, as I recall. The 9/6/74 photo shows two
bulging deposits which I assume are dredge deposits.
It would be these piles Fazio spread. (see attached)
The circle on these photos was supplied by someone -
Ckret? The circle marks the general area where the
money surfaced; looks to be very close to a dredge pile if not under the pile.
I simply dont know what Tom's current thinking
on this is.
georger 267
377
The missing tidal element is one of the reasons
I couldnt get too excited about the previous
posts about hydrology. Snow's flow reversal is
a fact and a bit complicated. I believe the pdf speaks
of flow reversal effects extending 40km inland!
Shipping at Portland has to time departures
and arrivals with the tides, if I recall correctly.
I have tried to estimate what tides would do to
a non-floating container (money). This goes back to
Safe's discussion about float times. We might assume
a non floating package hung up in some area -
could tides lift it. Might push it. But tidal affects
move currents around, alter them., as Snow has
shown. Pushed, moved, lifted from where to wind
up at Tina Bar. Im probably leaving out some
important effect.
Here again is the tidal chart for 11-24-71.
But what we need most right now is the DATE
of Fazios/Jerry's report.
snowmman 3
Do we agree that there were no black bills when the money was found?
I'm also not sure how Fazio could visually identify (it appears he didn't recover any) fragments of paper as coming from dollar bills, from a distance of at least six feet.
Could Fazio have seen something else? natural or otherwise?
I mean it beggars belief that he visually saw a debris field of black fragments, and identified it as fragments from bills just by looking at it, or remembering something after the money was found.
Black fragments: if they're black, how do you know they are dollar bill fragments anyhow, just from a distant visual inspection.
Bruce: I posted the page from the Tosaw book. Is that the page Fazio pointed to when you interviewed him? I have the Norjak photo also. If that photo wasn't it, maybe it was the Norjak photo.
Maybe Fazio remembered seeing fragments, the memory being after the money was discovered. But when the dig happened the fragments had been washed away.
Who the heck knows what we're talking about with this "fragment field" though.
(edit) an alternate explanation of the "fragment field" would be that it was the brown remnants from Duane Weber's paper bag. But people would instantly recognize that it's unlikely for a paper bag to flake out like that. Once you realize that, it makes you think about the craziness of this dollar bill fragment field proposal.
snowmman 3
http://www.dropzone.com/cgi-bin/forum/gforum.cgi?post=2530355;search_string=north%20carolina;#2530355
"I know he was in North Carolina and South Carolina during the yrs 1968 thru 1971 off and on. Lived in Columbia for sometime."
North Carolina is interesting because of Fort Bragg.
Jo: did Duane ever live in the vicinity of Fort Bragg??
(edit) I just noticed Jo's post was from Nov 14, 2006.
That's MIGHTILY impressive. Coming on 3 years, posting to DZ.com about a single topic.
I don't care what planet you're from, that's impressive.
snowmman 3
How come they get such a big one?
snowmman 3
The project turned out pretty good. Photo attached.
georger 267
Quoteon the idea of the Fazio seeing fragments.
Do we agree that there were no black bills when the money was found?
I'm also not sure how Fazio could visually identify (it appears he didn't recover any) fragments of paper as coming from dollar bills, from a distance of at least six feet.
Could Fazio have seen something else? natural or otherwise?
I mean it beggars belief that he visually saw a debris field of black fragments, and identified it as fragments from bills just by looking at it, or remembering something after the money was found.
Black fragments: if they're black, how do you know they are dollar bill fragments anyhow, just from a distant visual inspection.
Bruce: I posted the page from the Tosaw book. Is that the page Fazio pointed to when you interviewed him? I have the Norjak photo also. If that photo wasn't it, maybe it was the Norjak photo.
Maybe Fazio remembered seeing fragments, the memory being after the money was discovered. But when the dig happened the fragments had been washed away.
Who the heck knows what we're talking about with this "fragment field" though.
(edit) an alternate explanation of the "fragment field" would be that it was the brown remnants from Duane Weber's paper bag. But people would instantly recognize that it's unlikely for a paper bag to flake out like that. Once you realize that, it makes you think about the craziness of this dollar bill fragment field proposal.
I am in the same boat with all of this -
A 200ft foot field is a good sized field. I am
assuming Jerry/Fazio meant parallel to the river.
Geometry & depth of the field would relate to the
process that created it.
I have no problem with discolored bill fragments,
even black fragments. In the hard light of day
however these colors are not single hues.
My opinion is a lot is getting lost in translation.
We dont even have the DATE Fazio/Jerry are talking about.
I like you am trying to juxtapose this report in
terms of other observers, the excavation, reports,
etc. Even Palmer reports "fragments" but "in the
top layer", not on top of it. So I do not think\
Fragments are in doubt.
Here are excavation photos. I see two things at
possibly two different stages of the dig. Trenches
perpendicular to the river (not sure how many).
But also people turning the surface with scoops
(shovels), maybe looking for surface artifacts like
fragments? I assume these people turning the
surface with shovels came BEFOIRE the deep
trenches were dug? The work of turning the surface
seems compatible with (1) how Ingrams found the
money, just below the surface, and (2) the idea of
fragments near the surface...
One photo shows screening obviously looking for
small artifacts...
Question: do we know anyone who was on this
dig who is still alive to talk about it?
I did and I have just addressed it. Good work! Thanks!
Share this post
Link to post
Share on other sites