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billvon

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I think that education is the key...but youre example shows that it is not the whole picture. Less experienced jumpers should not have high wingloads, unless they can PROVE they can ahdle them...



Just for the record I said nothing about experience or wingloading of these jumpers. The jumper with busted femur has over 800 jumps I believe. Another is just a few jumps short of 500 according to his profile. Wingloading I am unsure but is not that high. Broken femur later says he knew he was over his head with the canopy.(something like that-I heard second hand)

Amyway I am unsure if your proposal would have made a difference, just looking at different angles
That spot isn't bad at all, the winds were strong and that was the issue! It was just on the downwind side.

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Thanks for posting this....It is better written than the one I have posted before.

I see 18%-19% possible "Save" rate....

If this were a buisness, it would of already been put in place.

Ron



By this reasoning you could have 100% save rate by allowing no-one to jump at higher than 0.5:1

100% return! If this were a business...
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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By this reasoning you could have 100% save rate by allowing no-one to jump at higher than 0.5:1

100% return! If this were a business...



And here you show that you are a teacher, not a buisness person.

100% is a dream that only happens in school.

18%-19% is a good return.

Welcome to the real world Dr. Kallend

Ron
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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"leads to more people maxing out their canopy performance envelopes"

Doubtful - I'd bet they overstep their ability level WAY before maxing out their performance envelopes. Also, education wouldn't stress how to get to the end of your performance envelope, it would stress how to be safe while trying to increase the envelope.

-- (N.DG) "If all else fails – at least try and look under control." --

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You all forget that we are dealing with human beings that are probably naturally attracted to some sort of level of danger/excitement therefore they skydive.

As diverdriver said = Booth's Law 2

"The safer skydiving gear becomes, the more chances skydivers will take, in order to keep the fatality rate constant."

I believe in my own mind that this directly applies to canopies as well. I'd be willing to bet as stated before, that restricting wingloadings will have no good effect on the skydiving population as a whole as people will still try to acheive the things that accomplished canopy pilots do. They will lie cheat and steal to obtain a canopy if they have to. They will try to hook their 1.3s in and screw up.

-- (N.DG) "If all else fails – at least try and look under control." --

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18%-19% is a good return.


What confidence interval does that lie in, though?

And, as everyone else, I would be very interested in seeing the statistics for injuries due to a WL which a jumper was not trained for.

I do see Kallend's point in not having enough data to correlate injuries with wing loading. Skydivers will moan and cry if they can't play with the shiny new toys, especially if you can't prove that they aren't ready for it.

I do agree that people downsize much too quickly, especially since I don't understand why they do it. I have no desire to do anything but jump lightly loaded canopies (I'm finally loading a canopy at 1.08 to 1 :D), so I don't understand why skydivers feel the need to downsize NOW instead of waiting 100-200 jumps down the road.

I see absolutely no problem with enforcing education, however. I see no problem with a skydiver having to perform all the tasks on Billvon's "list of things to do before downsizing" before getting their D license. It wouldn't be difficult to add on to the license requirements.
There's a thin line between Saturday night and Sunday morning

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By this reasoning you could have 100% save rate by allowing no-one to jump at higher than 0.5:1

100% return! If this were a business...



And here you show that you are a teacher, not a buisness person.

100% is a dream that only happens in school.

18%-19% is a good return.

Welcome to the real world Dr. Kallend

Ron



In the real world a bunch of people died under apparently good canopies. You are making an UNPROVEN and UNWARRANTED assumption that those not fitting your WL/jump number criterion would have been saved had they followed your rule. I simply extended your UNPROVEN and UNWARRANTED assumption to a lower WL and higher jump number. If I am wrong, then so are you.

PS I ran a software business for 15 years. My return on investment was over 100%
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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In the real world a bunch of people died under apparently good canopies. You are making an UNPROVEN and
UNWARRANTED assumption that those not fitting your WL/jump number criterion would have been saved had
they followed your rule. I simply extended your UNPROVEN and UNWARRANTED assumption to a lower WL
and higher jump number. If I am wrong, then so are you.



I never said you were wrong...
Fact is that 15 years ago it was VERY rare to have a guy die under a good canopy.

So you are right, if we made everyone jump at less than 1 to 1 you are correct fatalities would drop.

However in the real world that is not very practical...So in theory it is correct in application it is not.

Why is it hard for you to admit that some people who have more experience than you, do have have better ideas than you do?

And as for the facts...well if I had them you would just claim that they are not the real numbers, or want another study done to prove the first set conclusive.

It would never end for you.

You are smart...I would think that you could see the trends.
But insted it seems you would rather bitch about the lack of paper facts than do anything...

I may not have your education, but I do have much more experience in relation to this. But I guess without the PHD I don't have a clue huh?

Ron
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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Education is overrated. Experience is underrated.

Hey, perhaps that even relates to canopy flight as well. You can send a pilot to tons and tons of theory classes, but bottomline is they won't be able to put a puddle jumper down in the middle of Alaska until they've worked up to the point. BUT, most pilots realize their limitations because they are educated well (generalization here)...

-- (N.DG) "If all else fails – at least try and look under control." --

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Education is overrated. Experience is underrated.

Hey, perhaps that even relates to canopy flight as well. You can send a pilot to tons and tons of theory
classes, but bottomline is they won't be able to put a puddle jumper down in the middle of Alaska until
they've worked up to the point. BUT, most pilots realize their limitations because they are educated well
(generalization here)...



Thats why you need both...Education AND experience...You can get education many ways...But the ONLY way to get experience is to jump...You only get one landing per jump (If you are lucky) so the number of jumps you have can be used to judge basic experience.

Ron
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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I may not have your education, but I do have much more experience in relation to this. But I guess without the PHD I don't have a clue huh?

Ron



You know, I don't go around telling people I have a PhD, maybe I should hire you as my agent since you're doing a great job.

As for experience - I jump at a DZ that probably puts its students out at the highest WL of anywhere in the world. I was jumping at over 1.1 by my 3rd solo jump, and at 1.3 by jump 12 - this is not untypical. The idea is that students get to downsize a modest amount while still under the eye of their instructor. Since it is a very busy DZ we have lots of experience doing this. If anywhere should illustrate this "problem" it would be SkydiveChicago.

While we have had several accidents at the DZ since this concept has been in place, not one of them involved a situation of a student or low time jumper at high WL. Not one.

Once again, the available data and experience at a DZ whose philosophy is opposite yours do not indicate any evidence that the low time high WL individual is at any more risk for dying under a good canopy than anyone else. I agree the data are inadequate for a decent analysis, but they are what we have.

There is indeed a canopy fatality problem, but I think you have misdiagnosed it and prescribed the wrong cure. Your WL BSR will delay downsizing until a time long after the student has instructor supervision, and right at the time they are starting to feel invincible. That, I believe, is the harm in your proposal.

The proper cure is a thorough revision of the licensing system to include a greater emphasis on canopy skills relevant to today's environment. This will improve the situation regardless of the underlying cause.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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>While we have had several accidents at the DZ since this concept has
> been in place, not one of them involved a situation of a student or
> low time jumper at high WL. Not one.

That's because you have HP canopy training as part of your student training program. Your experience does not apply to most DZ's in the country; attempting to extend that experience to other DZ's isn't valid.

>The proper cure is a thorough revision of the licensing system to
> include a greater emphasis on canopy skills relevant to today's
> environment. This will improve the situation regardless of the
> underlying cause.

So you'd add HP canopy manuevers to the licensing structure, and require all jumpers (regardless of loading) to demonstrate them? What sort of manuevers, and at what loadings? Would demonstration at a low loading "qualify" someone to jump a high loading?

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John,

I don't think anyone said this BSR would say SDC could not continue with the current student training program. I think many (not all) see it as the way to go in canopy training for new jumpers. BUT....not every DZ has this and this is where people are getting hurt. Many of the suggestions here have said there would be an "opt out" program. Well, I happen to think that going through the program at SDC would qualify as that opt out clause. The ISP was supposed to bridge the gap between the old style AFF and take students to their A license under supervision like SDC's AFP program. Yet, the ISP got watered down and I don't hear of many people doing the canopy control training part of it either much. Not saying it doesn't happen. Just saying that I don't think many places teach it like SDC.

But just because you feel you had good training doesn't mean everyone is getting that same training. How many student programs have you been involved with other than SDC's? I have been ivolved with many just because of my travels. It's not done the same way as SDC so maybe outside of the SDC environment there are students that would benefit from a WL BSR while they go and get more training.

edited to add: Dang, Bill beat me to it.
Chris Schindler
www.diverdriver.com
ATP/D-19012
FB #4125

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So you'd add HP canopy manuevers to the licensing structure, and require all jumpers (regardless of loading) to demonstrate them? What sort of manuevers, and at what loadings? Would demonstration at a low loading "qualify" someone to jump a high loading?



In the model where it's tied to the license, well - no. It wouldn't qualify someone for a higher wingloading as no qualification is necesary! People either get the licence or they don't.

Those who don't want to demonstrate the skills don't get the license, or if they don't want to demonstrate them they get a exempted license, like night jumps are done now.

A good starting point of demonstrated skills would be your own world famous list of "downsize" skills. Add in 90 and 180 degree front riser turns, and you've got a robust high performance canopy course.

The manuevers should be done under whatever canopy at whatever wingloading the jumper has then they go for the license.

_Am
__

You put the fun in "funnel" - craichead.

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I want to correct the numbers I used when reffering to the canopy control course and the accidents that followed. There was actually between 12-15 jumpers that took the class. There was actually three seperate classes which I was unaware. I was only there Saturday as I got rather beat up landing a bi-plane under a ... well nevermind.

I also did not realize that another jumper who broke his leg a couple of weeks ago had taken the course. He has about 1300 jumps. So of the three broken legs, all three had canopy training and two of them had more than 500 jumps. We still have that other one that is not out of the woods yet.

I only bring this up as BillVon indicated by looking at the fatality reports that X number of fatalities could have been prevented with proper training and/or wingloading restrictions. And yes it could have. Or not. One could theorize from my small sample group that it could cause more accidents.
That spot isn't bad at all, the winds were strong and that was the issue! It was just on the downwind side.

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You know, I don't go around telling people I have a PhD, maybe I should hire you as my agent since you're
doing a great job.



60,000 a year with flight benefits, set my own schedule...I'm yours.

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As for experience - I jump at a DZ that probably puts its students out at the highest WL of anywhere in the
world. I was jumping at over 1.1 by my 3rd solo jump, and at 1.3 by jump 12 - this is not untypical. The
idea is that students get to downsize a modest amount while still under the eye of their instructor. Since it
is a very busy DZ we have lots of experience doing this. If anywhere should illustrate this "problem" it would
be SkydiveChicago.



Nope, because you get taught from step one. Not ALL DZ's do this...In fact most don't. Roger was ahead of the curve...

Problem is that not EVERY place does this...
And the USPA can't even get the ISP everywhere....
Not every place has the level of instructors to teach this...

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Once again, the available data and experience at a DZ whose philosophy is opposite yours do not indicate
any evidence that the low time high WL individual is at any more risk for dying under a good canopy than
anyone else. I agree the data are inadequate for a decent analysis, but they are what we have.



Get away from Rogers place...Look at ALL the DZ's in the US.
Roger had a very advanced program...Again not ALL DZ have it. Nor will they even if the USPA tries to make it so...Check the ISP.

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There is indeed a canopy fatality problem, but I think you have misdiagnosed it and prescribed the wrong
cure.



Check the fatality reports...way to many people under HP canopies...Maybe not at SDC..But all over the US.

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Your WL BSR will delay downsizing until a time long after the student has instructor supervision, and
right at the time they are starting to feel invincible. That, I believe, is the harm in your proposal.



Well they are downsizing now with almost no supervision any way... And WAY before they have the experience to do it. Not at the wonderland that is SDC...But ALL over the US.

All of the dead guys didn't think they would get killed.

And if SDC is so good at canopy flight...Why have there been so many canopy collisions? I can only think of ONE in the state of FL. in the past year...So even WITH education...shit happens.

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The proper cure is a thorough revision of the licensing system to include a greater emphasis on canopy skills
relevant to today's environment. This will improve the situation regardless of the underlying cause.



Oh my god John...we agree on something. How the hell did this happen? What can we do to prevent us from agreeing again?

However, how do you plan to make the ones that need it take the classes? USPA can't even make all the DZ's do the ISP.
Not everywhere has that level of instruction.

The WL BSR would MAKE the ones that want to go faster than the "normal" progression SHOW that they can handle it...If they can do it without the classes great..If they have to take the classes ot learn it..Better.

But I would make them PROVE they can do it, not just take a class.

And John, you should know this better than me...Just because someone takes a class...even if it was taught very well...Does not mean they will learn.

The Regulation would protect these jumpers, atleast for a while.

Would you agree to a WL to LICENSE structure more?
WITH performance based tests?

But then we get into the people like you that don't hook, but need a "D" to compete. Should you HAVE to learn how to hook?

The other program does not make people learn anything they don't want to. If you make it part of the license structure...you start making people do things they don't want to do.

You COULD make it like a HP endorsment for an airplane...You want to fly higher than 1.3 or so you need the endorsment..I could get behind that.

But it does not take into the fact that people CAN learn how to fly HP on their own if they can get the experience. Germains table does take that into account.

Ron
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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As for experience-



Didn't you say: "You assume so based on your "experience". Experienced folks once clained the Earth was flat, that heavier than air machines would never fly, and that no use would ever be found for the study of radioactivity (among other things)."

So if experience works in your favor, you use it. If experience works against you, you discount and attack it.

Anyway, since you brought up your experience, how many students have you taught canopy control to? Are you an Instructor? Coach?

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I jump at a DZ that probably puts its students out at the highest WL of anywhere in the world. I was jumping at over 1.1 by my 3rd solo jump, and at 1.3 by jump 12 - this is not untypical. The idea is that students get to downsize a modest amount while still under the eye of their instructor. Since it is a very busy DZ we have lots of experience doing this. If anywhere should illustrate this "problem" it would be SkydiveChicago.



The idea of the proposed BSR is the same, downsizing a modest amount under the supervision of an Instructor., but it doesn't stop at the "A" license. The problem isn't students, it the jumper with 120 jumps under the Stiletto 135 at 1.4:1.

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While we have had several accidents at the DZ since this concept has been in place, not one of them involved a situation of a student or low time jumper at high WL. Not one.



Not one????? Not to harsh on Skydive Chicago, which I think is a great, safe DZ, but to counter your point;

"7/9/2001 Skydive Chicago, IL # Jumps: 50

Description: Best guess is that this jumper deployed extremely low, and then had her CYPRES-fired reserve entangle with her snivelling/malfunctioned main. She managed a cutaway somewhere below 250', but it failed to improve the situation. The prior weekend, she had been chastised for pulling too low, and otherwise taking too many chances. She was jumping a Safire 130-ish, at a wing-loading of around 1.1 lb/ft^2."

"10/14/2001 Skydive Chicago, IL # Jumps: 70

Description: Breakoff on this routine 6-way skydive came at 4500, with most participants fully deployed by 2000. This jumper was observed in a spinning configuration until a low cutaway at 150-250'. The reserve was deployed, but the slider was found right at the canopy. The main was found with one brake unstowed; this may have caused or exacerbated the malfunction. Ground witnesses report main deployment was at or above 2000.

USPA Conclusions: As with most fatalities, this one resulted after a series of mis-steps and not just one isolated error or problem. First, the skydiver was jumping an elliptical canopy, many of which are often associated with more violent malfunctions than more rectangular planforms.If one brake releases prior to or during opening, the resulting spin sometimes causes a line twist, which may or may not be recoverable in the remaining altitude. Second, the jumper's wing loading was calculated at 1.26:1, which the manufacturer considers acceptable for an advanced to expert canopy pilot. Yet, this jumper had only 80 jumps.Third, he deployed the main parachute at least 1,000 feet lower than USPA requires for an A-license holder, who, according to the USPA Basic Safety Requirments, must initiate deployment by 3,000 feet"

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Once again, the available data and experience at a DZ whose philosophy is opposite yours do not indicate any evidence that the low time high WL individual is at any more risk for dying under a good canopy than anyone else. I agree the data are inadequate for a decent analysis, but they are what we have.



So now that lack of data means that there isn't a problem? If there is no data regarding incidents from pulling low, then there isn't a problem and the minimum pull altitude BSR's should be repealed?

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There is indeed a canopy fatality problem, but I think you have misdiagnosed it and prescribed the wrong cure. Your WL BSR will delay downsizing until a time long after the student has instructor supervision, and right at the time they are starting to feel invincible. That, I believe, is the harm in your proposal.




You say we have misdiagnosed the canopy problem, (at least you admit there is a problem, even without hard data to support that………) , so what do you feel is the diagnosis? Again, the idea of the proposed BSR is the same, downsizing a modest amount under the supervision of an Instructor, but it doesn't stop at the "A" license. It won't delay downsizing unless the jumper can't handle the smaller canopy, which is good. It will require additional canopy training for each license, from an Instructor, which is good. And if someone desires to downsize faster than recommended they will either have to prove they have the ability, or get additional canopy training from an Instructor. Your concern is that people will downsize while not under the supervision of an Instructor, they are doing that now, under the proposed BSR, they will downsize with more training or under supervision. The proposed BSR addresses your concerns.

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The proper cure is a thorough revision of the licensing system to include a greater emphasis on canopy skills relevant to today's environment. This will improve the situation regardless of the underlying cause.



That is in the proposed BSR.

Hook

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As for experience-



Didn't you say: "You assume so based on your "experience". Experienced folks once clained the Earth was flat, that heavier than air machines would never fly, and that no use would ever be found for the study of radioactivity (among other things)."

So if experience works in your favor, you use it. If experience works against you, you discount and attack it.



Ron asked, so I responded. I still maintain that people who just claim "experience" to compensate for no data are full of baloney.


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Anyway, since you brought up your experience, how many students have you taught canopy control to? Are you an Instructor? Coach?



Nope - just a trained observer.

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I jump at a DZ that probably puts its students out at the highest WL of anywhere in the world. I was jumping at over 1.1 by my 3rd solo jump, and at 1.3 by jump 12 - this is not untypical. The idea is that students get to downsize a modest amount while still under the eye of their instructor. Since it is a very busy DZ we have lots of experience doing this. If anywhere should illustrate this "problem" it would be SkydiveChicago.



The idea of the proposed BSR is the same, downsizing a modest amount under the supervision of an Instructor., but it doesn't stop at the "A" license. The problem isn't students, it the jumper with 120 jumps under the Stiletto 135 at 1.4:1.

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While we have had several accidents at the DZ since this concept has been in place, not one of them involved a situation of a student or low time jumper at high WL. Not one.



Not one????? Not to harsh on Skydive Chicago, which I think is a great, safe DZ, but to counter your point;



details snipped

I thought we were dealing with canopy control, not low pulls or emergency procedures.

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Once again, the available data and experience at a DZ whose philosophy is opposite yours do not indicate any evidence that the low time high WL individual is at any more risk for dying under a good canopy than anyone else. I agree the data are inadequate for a decent analysis, but they are what we have.



So now that lack of data means that there isn't a problem? If there is no data regarding incidents from pulling low, then there isn't a problem and the minimum pull altitude BSR's should be repealed?



There are lots of data about pulling low. The SSK web site has a whole bunch, for instance. Gary Peek's site has lots of info about canopy opening behavior. Your continual harping on low pull issues is just a smokescreen.


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There is indeed a canopy fatality problem, but I think you have misdiagnosed it and prescribed the wrong cure. Your WL BSR will delay downsizing until a time long after the student has instructor supervision, and right at the time they are starting to feel invincible. That, I believe, is the harm in your proposal.




You say we have misdiagnosed the canopy problem, (at least you admit there is a problem, even without hard data to support that………) ,



Don't be ridiculous - there are lots of data to indicate a canopy problem, I even have some posted on my own web site.

There are no data that say low time jumpers at high WL are dying at a rate greater than their numbers in the skydiving population would suggest, though.

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so what do you feel is the diagnosis? Again, the idea of the proposed BSR is the same, downsizing a modest amount under the supervision of an Instructor, but it doesn't stop at the "A" license. It won't delay downsizing unless the jumper can't handle the smaller canopy, which is good. It will require additional canopy training for each license, from an Instructor, which is good. And if someone desires to downsize faster than recommended they will either have to prove they have the ability, or get additional canopy training from an Instructor. Your concern is that people will downsize while not under the supervision of an Instructor, they are doing that now, under the proposed BSR, they will downsize with more training or under supervision. The proposed BSR addresses your concerns.

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The proper cure is a thorough revision of the licensing system to include a greater emphasis on canopy skills relevant to today's environment. This will improve the situation regardless of the underlying cause.



That is in the proposed BSR.

Hook




Yes, along with an unenforcible WL rule that can't be justified. If you could justify it, you would. Instead you throw up a smokescreen about the pull altitude rules every time you're asked.

I already told you my diagnosis.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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There are lots of data about pulling low. The SSK web site has a whole bunch, for instance. Gary Peek's site has lots of info about canopy opening behavior. Your continual harping on low pull issues is just a smokescreen.



No, not a smoke screen. It is a parallel to the debate. The SSK site lists Cypres fires. How many of those fires would the jumper have walked away if the Cypres hadn't been in their reserve container? They would hve only opened low? This is the same argument you used about how many of the incidents would have happened anyway if the jumper had been at a lower wing loading. We can debate this all day long, but all we have is the experience of jumpers that have been around to different DZ's and have been dealing with the problem for quite a while. If you don't believe that I am correct in my diagnosis of the problem, then I don't think there is anything I can say that would convince you. You sure can't convince me that I am wrong about the diagnosis. I have seen it.

You say there isn't enough data to support my (our) claim that the problem is not enough experience and education and too high of a wing loading. The same argument can be used against the minimum pull altitude BSR's.

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Nope - just a trained observer.



We have observed different things then. I have taught AFP. I have seen the difference it makes. I wholeheartedly endorse the program. Very few DZ's use it and few DZ's use the ISP. Because it isn't mandatory, not because it isn't better.

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Yes, along with an unenforcible WL rule that can't be justified. If you could justify it, you would. Instead you throw up a smokescreen about the pull altitude rules every time you're asked.



Again, it would only have to be enforced for the small percentage of jumpers that choose to break it. It can be enforced the same way pull altitude BSR's are enforced. It isn't a perfect solution, but I believe it is the best solution we have.

Justification: Others and my experience, S & TA's, Instructors, etc. We have a different perspective on the problem. I am not against high wing loading, obviously. But people need the education and training. It is available, but people are not going and getting it and they are getting injured because they are not armed with it. As mentioned in another thread, mandatory incident reporting was torpedoed in the last NPRM for part 105. It is undeniable that people are hammering in because they are in over their heads with their canopy. They will not seek out further training and education unless it is mandatory. The BSR will eventually affect every jumper in the U.S., making him or her safer.

I think we are making progress. I think you are in agreement with the adding more canopy control education and training requirements to the "B", "C", and "D" licenses part of the proposed BSR. And you only oppose a wing loading restriction based on licenses with the option to test out, be waived, or receive additional education and training to exceed the wing loading limitations. Is this correct?

Hook

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Thanks for posting this....It is better written than the one I have posted before.

I see 18%-19% possible "Save" rate....

If this were a buisness, it would of already been put in place.



no a business WOULD take the time to do a formal study and the math to go along with it, businesses fail by making hasty decisions, even if they "seem" correct in the experience of people in the field...

i'd be interested to see the rest of the numbers you used to come up with any "save rate" since i think your (as is everyone else on either side, since they havent been gathered) missing a few very important factors for that kind of calculation

otherwise it falls into the "made up on the spot" statistics..which just isnt very useful to anyone..
____________________________________
Those who fail to learn from the past are simply Doomed.

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I think we are making progress. I think you are in agreement with the adding more canopy control education and training requirements to the "B", "C", and "D" licenses part of the proposed BSR.

I said that about a week ago when this series of threads started. I have always been in favor of more canopy control in the license criteria; I wrote about it about three years ago on rec.skydiving (when that was still a useful forum).

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And you only oppose a wing loading restriction based on licenses with the option to test out, be waived, or receive additional education and training to exceed the wing loading limitations. Is this correct?

Hook



I think the WL rule may turn out to be counter productive. Delaying unrestricted WLs to the point where a jumper is feeling invincible (happens around 300 - 600 jumps, right) could be an invitation to disaster. It also provides an "out" to avoid the further training that IMHO is absolutely necessary.
Nor does it deal with someone with poor skills (visual/motor) who nevertheless achieves 500 jumps. Essentially you are saying to this guy "It's OK to jump that Velocity now, you have the necessary experience".


Finally - it simply doesn't fit in the general philosophy of a progressive series of licenses granting additional privileges as you demonstrate skills (in addtion to accumulating jump numbers). I didn't get my "D" at 200 jumps, because I still hadn't completed the accuracy requirement... that was quite fair.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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no a business WOULD take the time to do a formal study and the math to go along with it, businesses fail by
making hasty decisions, even if they "seem" correct in the experience of people in the field...

i'd be interested to see the rest of the numbers you used to come up with any "save rate" since i think your (as is
everyone else on either side, since they havent been gathered) missing a few very important factors for that kind
of calculation



Zen get off of it.

There are numbers...they show a problem.
If a buisness spends all its time trying to get the whole picture..many times they go out of buisness waiting.
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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While we have had several accidents at the DZ since this concept has been in place, not one of
them involved a situation of a student or low time jumper at high WL. Not one.



Not one????? Not to harsh on Skydive Chicago, which I think is a great, safe DZ, but to counter your
point;



And if SDC is so good at canopy flight...Why have there been so many canopy collisions? I can only
think of ONE in the state of FL. in the past year...So even WITH education...shit happens.

Care to explain that one John?

Quote

There are no data that say low time jumpers at high WL are dying at a rate greater than their numbers
in the skydiving population would suggest, though.



what about the fact that the jump #'s for people dying under good canopies is moving down every year?

That not enough info for ya?
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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While we have had several accidents at the DZ since this concept has been in place, not one of
them involved a situation of a student or low time jumper at high WL. Not one.



Not one????? Not to harsh on Skydive Chicago, which I think is a great, safe DZ, but to counter your
point;



And if SDC is so good at canopy flight...Why have there been so many canopy collisions? I can only
think of ONE in the state of FL. in the past year...So even WITH education...shit happens.

Care to explain that one John?



One collision fatality had 9000 jumps (and the other jumper had 2200). The other collision double fatality involved someone with >900 jumps hitting someone with about 200, and both were on lightly loaded canopies. Only one of the four was trained at SDC. Care to explain how your proposed BSR would affect these?
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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