0
rushmc

Carbon Dioxide irrelevant in climate debate says MIT Scientist

Recommended Posts

Quote

A decade of inaccuracy? What's the point of modeling if they cannot be trusted?



Let me explain in terms even a Republican can understand:

It is quite accurate to say that the Dow Jones has increased at a rate of 307 points per week since Obama was inaugurated.

This does not imply that it increased 307 points last week, or the week before, or the week before that.

You could measure your commute to work and calculate your rate of progress in mph by dividing distance by time taken. That does not imply that at if you looked at your speedometer at any given instant it would read that speed.

You are misrepresenting the climate change information, as befits a lawyer.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote



Come on, John. We have allowed this thread to drift.

Rise to the challenge. Show me a model that predicted the last ten years.



In terms of time scale, 10 years is as absurd a request as 10 days since el Nino events aren't predictable.

You know that perfectly well, and your continued harping on it shows that you are not concerned with truth, just with posturing like a plaintiff's attorney.



And this post indicates that you think only you and those like thinking know the truth. Damn disgusting and arrogant professor. It must be nice to be so blessed in your universe.

Now, care to take on the data?



I didn't take that from what kallend wrote, I took these two points:
(1) "Ten years is as absurd" transaltes into "we will place conditions such to make our pet theory unfalsifiable. Any and all evidence to the contrary shall be deemed unimportant and untrustworthy, unless it is spun as evidence in support."

(2) Just as importantly, "el nino events aren't predictable". Seeing as how there is either El Nino or La Nina half the time, perhaps we should be looking more into it. And since kallend infersa thet the ENSO is enough of a factor to make predictions impossible, it infers kallend's admission that other factors, at the very least, inhibit CO2 forcings so as to make climate predictions unreliable.


My wife is hotter than your wife.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

You know that perfectly well, and your continued harping on it shows that you are not concerned with truth, just with posturing like a plaintiff's attorney.



Motes/beams, perfesser. ALL you have done in this thread is attack the messenger.



Is there an echo in here?

"I choose not to place much credibility in the messengers who are paid to give a particular message."
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

You know that perfectly well, and your continued harping on it shows that you are not concerned with truth, just with posturing like a plaintiff's attorney.



Motes/beams, perfesser. ALL you have done in this thread is attack the messenger.



Is there an echo in here?

"I choose not to place much credibility in the messengers who are paid to give a particular message."



Unless you agree with said message, yes.

So - now that you've yet again attacked the messenger...when are you going to address the data? You're somewhere around 0-for-8, now.
Mike
I love you, Shannon and Jim.
POPS 9708 , SCR 14706

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

Quote



Come on, John. We have allowed this thread to drift.

Rise to the challenge. Show me a model that predicted the last ten years.



In terms of time scale, 10 years is as absurd a request as 10 days since el Nino events aren't predictable.

You know that perfectly well, and your continued harping on it shows that you are not concerned with truth, just with posturing like a plaintiff's attorney.



And this post indicates that you think only you and those like thinking know the truth. Damn disgusting and arrogant professor. It must be nice to be so blessed in your universe.

Now, care to take on the data?



I didn't take that from what kallend wrote, I took these two points:
(1) "Ten years is as absurd" transaltes into "we will place conditions such to make our pet theory unfalsifiable. Any and all evidence to the contrary shall be deemed unimportant and untrustworthy, unless it is spun as evidence in support."

(2) Just as importantly, "el nino events aren't predictable". Seeing as how there is either El Nino or La Nina half the time, perhaps we should be looking more into it. And since kallend infersa thet the ENSO is enough of a factor to make predictions impossible, it infers kallend's admission that other factors, at the very least, inhibit CO2 forcings so as to make climate predictions unreliable.



Using chaotic (in the mathematical sense) short term fluctuations in a vain attempt to discredit a model whose purpose is to predict long term trends despite being told repeatedly that what you are doing is mathematically and scientifically invalid simply shows that your intention is to deceive.

I guess you'll be defending the 45 degree rule next.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

Quote



Come on, John. We have allowed this thread to drift.

Rise to the challenge. Show me a model that predicted the last ten years.



In terms of time scale, 10 years is as absurd a request as 10 days since el Nino events aren't predictable.

You know that perfectly well, and your continued harping on it shows that you are not concerned with truth, just with posturing like a plaintiff's attorney.



And this post indicates that you think only you and those like thinking know the truth. Damn disgusting and arrogant professor. It must be nice to be so blessed in your universe.

Now, care to take on the data?



I didn't take that from what kallend wrote, I took these two points:
(1) "Ten years is as absurd" transaltes into "we will place conditions such to make our pet theory unfalsifiable. Any and all evidence to the contrary shall be deemed unimportant and untrustworthy, unless it is spun as evidence in support."

(2) Just as importantly, "el nino events aren't predictable". Seeing as how there is either El Nino or La Nina half the time, perhaps we should be looking more into it. And since kallend infersa thet the ENSO is enough of a factor to make predictions impossible, it infers kallend's admission that other factors, at the very least, inhibit CO2 forcings so as to make climate predictions unreliable.



fair enough
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

You know that perfectly well, and your continued harping on it shows that you are not concerned with truth, just with posturing like a plaintiff's attorney.



Motes/beams, perfesser. ALL you have done in this thread is attack the messenger.



Is there an echo in here?

"I choose not to place much credibility in the messengers who are paid to give a particular message."



I dont get it. Those who you believe are paid to spread their message. Why is it only one side doing is lieing cause there are paid and the other is truthful when THEY are paid???

Plains Justice paid Hansen a fortune to come to Iowa to speak against the power plant here.

how do you square that?
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

A decade of inaccuracy? What's the point of modeling if they cannot be trusted?



Let me explain in terms even a Republican can understand:

It is quite accurate to say that the Dow Jones has increased at a rate of 307 points per week since Obama was inaugurated.



Much like some people predicted that the Dow would reach 20,000 by 2010. For some periods, it was the trend.

Problem - the stock market does not necessarily follow the laws of physics. If CO2 was the power claimed, we'd have .2 degrees C increase in the last decade. We didn't.


[Reply]This does not imply that it increased 307 points last week, or the week before, or the week before that.



The climate is not as fickle as investors. Climate has no instinct.

[Reply]
You could measure your commute to work and calculate your rate of progress in mph by dividing distance by time taken. That does not imply that at if you looked at your speedometer at any given instant it would read that speed.



True. If I predict that my drive to kingsburg will take me 30 minutes, then I'm averaging just under 60 mph.

Oops. There was a wreck on the road. I went 10 miles in 20 minutes. Now I've gotta go 19 miles in 10 minutes to meet my prediction.

It's easy to predict average speeds traveled. It's harder to predict average future travel speeds.

It's like driving in Los Angeles. How long will it take to drive from Anaheim to Downtown Los Angeles in 2100? You gotta make third and fourth degree assumptions on that.

[Reply]You are misrepresenting the climate change information, as befits a lawyer.



No I'm not. One of the funny things about climate models is that they are geared to be more accurate in 100 years than in 20 years. Which is funny, because we've gotta wait another 60 years or so to validate the earliest computer model simulations.

We assume they are accurate without any proof except comparing what predictions there have been to observations. The results have been pretty bad so far.


My wife is hotter than your wife.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Still waiting for your list of scientists who are paid for their opinions by Big AGW.



Still waiting for you to converse about the DATA.



Sshhh: grown ups are talking.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

A decade of inaccuracy? What's the point of modeling if they cannot be trusted?



Let me explain in terms even a Republican can understand:

It is quite accurate to say that the Dow Jones has increased at a rate of 307 points per week since Obama was inaugurated.



Much like some people predicted that the Dow would reach 20,000 by 2010. For some periods, it was the trend.

Problem - the stock market does not necessarily follow the laws of physics. If CO2 was the power claimed, we'd have .2 degrees C increase in the last decade. We didn't.




There you go again. Predicting a long term trend is not the same as predicting tomorrow's weather, or next year's average temperature. You are too smart not to know this; the only conclusion is deliberate deception on your part.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

Quote

A decade of inaccuracy? What's the point of modeling if they cannot be trusted?



Let me explain in terms even a Republican can understand:

It is quite accurate to say that the Dow Jones has increased at a rate of 307 points per week since Obama was inaugurated.



Much like some people predicted that the Dow would reach 20,000 by 2010. For some periods, it was the trend.

Problem - the stock market does not necessarily follow the laws of physics. If CO2 was the power claimed, we'd have .2 degrees C increase in the last decade. We didn't.




There you go again. Predicting a long term trend is not the same as predicting tomorrow's weather, or next year's average temperature. You are too smart not to know this; the only conclusion is deliberate deception on your part.



Are you being obtuse deliberately?

Over and over he has explained it you to very well. His points are valid. You on the other hand, are so desperate to push the social changes you support using AWG you ignore points and data, which you have yet to address
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

Quote

Quote

A decade of inaccuracy? What's the point of modeling if they cannot be trusted?



Let me explain in terms even a Republican can understand:

It is quite accurate to say that the Dow Jones has increased at a rate of 307 points per week since Obama was inaugurated.



Much like some people predicted that the Dow would reach 20,000 by 2010. For some periods, it was the trend.

Problem - the stock market does not necessarily follow the laws of physics. If CO2 was the power claimed, we'd have .2 degrees C increase in the last decade. We didn't.




There you go again. Predicting a long term trend is not the same as predicting tomorrow's weather, or next year's average temperature. You are too smart not to know this; the only conclusion is deliberate deception on your part.



Are you being obtuse deliberately?

Over and over he has explained it you to very well. His points are valid.



No, he hasn't and his point is scientifically invalid. Sort of argument I expect from a lawyer, though.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

From the article, 1st paragraph. Too many links and supporting reviewed papers to link
This should heat up, ah, no, cool off the debate;)

http://www.examiner.com/examiner/x-7715-Portland-Civil-Rights-Examiner~y2009m8d18-Carbon-Dioxide-irrelevant-in-climate-debate-says-MIT-Scientist

Quote

In a study sure to ruffle the feathers of the Global Warming cabal, Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT has published a paper which proves that IPCC models are overstating by 6 times, the relevance of CO2 in Earth’s Atmosphere. Dr. Lindzen has found that heat is radiated out in to space at a far higher rate than any modeling system to date can account for.



Google search of Dr Lindzen

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&as_q=Professor+Richard+Lindzen+&as_epq=&as_oq=&as_eq=&num=10&lr=&as_filetype=&ft=i&as_sitesearch=&as_qdr=all&as_rights=&as_occt=any&cr=&as_nlo=&as_nhi=&safe=images


You forgot to mention the report was peer reviewed too.:o
Chuck Akers
D-10855
Houston, TX

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

Quote

Quote

Quote

A decade of inaccuracy? What's the point of modeling if they cannot be trusted?



Let me explain in terms even a Republican can understand:

It is quite accurate to say that the Dow Jones has increased at a rate of 307 points per week since Obama was inaugurated.


Much like some people predicted that the Dow would reach 20,000 by 2010. For some periods, it was the trend.

Problem - the stock market does not necessarily follow the laws of physics. If CO2 was the power claimed, we'd have .2 degrees C increase in the last decade. We didn't.




There you go again. Predicting a long term trend is not the same as predicting tomorrow's weather, or next year's average temperature. You are too smart not to know this; the only conclusion is deliberate deception on your part.


Are you being obtuse deliberately?

Over and over he has explained it you to very well. His points are valid.


No, he hasn't and his point is scientifically invalid. Sort of argument I expect from a lawyer, though.


I am of the opinion you know much less about science than you claim too[:/]

And honest exchanges is not one of your strengths
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

Still waiting for your list of scientists who are paid for their opinions by Big AGW.



Still waiting for you to converse about the DATA.



Sshhh: grown ups are talking.



Yes, they are - so why do you keep interjecting into the conversation?

Clicky
Quote

Mar. 5, 2001

Dr. Jim Hansen, Chief of the Goddard Space Flight Center's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, N.Y., and one of this year's recipients of a $250,000 Heinz Award, receives his award tonight at a ceremony at the Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington, D.C.

The award, bestowed annually by the Heinz Family Foundation since 1993, honors the memory of Sen. John Heinz, R-Pa., who died in a plane crash in 1991. The award is given in recognition of people who enhance the lives of others.

In announcing this year's winners, the Heinz Award cited Dr. Hansen "for his exemplary leadership in the critical and often-contentious debate over the threat of global climate change. The theory that industrial pollution continues to create an atmospheric 'greenhouse effect' or warming has pitted scientist against scientist and politician against politician. "



Well, I guess you can quit using Hansen as a source....
Mike
I love you, Shannon and Jim.
POPS 9708 , SCR 14706

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If you look at a graph of temperatures over the last 10 years, you'll note that it jukes all over the place, just like the stock market. This is because there are factors that influence temperature on a day-to-day, week-to-week, and month-to-month basis that have stronger input than manmade CO2 (for example, a volcanic eruption). Because a lot of these factors are difficult/impossible to predict in the short-term, it's ludicrous to try and use a model designed to predict long-term temperature fluctuations to predict temperature change over the course of 10 years. The background noise is too high to pull anything meaningful out of that set of data.
And speaking of data, could somebody post a link to Lindzen's paper that y'all want debunked. Or do you just want kallend to debunk the interpretation of the paper that's offered on some right-wing website?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

Quote

Quote

Still waiting for your list of scientists who are paid for their opinions by Big AGW.



Still waiting for you to converse about the DATA.


Sshhh: grown ups are talking.


Yes, they are - so why do you keep interjecting into the conversation?

Clicky
Quote

Mar. 5, 2001

Dr. Jim Hansen, Chief of the Goddard Space Flight Center's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, N.Y., and one of this year's recipients of a $250,000 Heinz Award, receives his award tonight at a ceremony at the Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington, D.C.

The award, bestowed annually by the Heinz Family Foundation since 1993, honors the memory of Sen. John Heinz, R-Pa., who died in a plane crash in 1991. The award is given in recognition of people who enhance the lives of others.

In announcing this year's winners, the Heinz Award cited Dr. Hansen "for his exemplary leadership in the critical and often-contentious debate over the threat of global climate change. The theory that industrial pollution continues to create an atmospheric 'greenhouse effect' or warming has pitted scientist against scientist and politician against politician. "



Well, I guess you can quit using Hansen as a source....


It doesnt matter when one debates someone who supports something that has become a dishonest religion.

The other part is Hansen does not have the credintials kallend says is needed to be credible. I guess those only matter on the denier side[:/]
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

From the article, 1st paragraph. Too many links and supporting reviewed papers to link
This should heat up, ah, no, cool off the debate;)

http://www.examiner.com/examiner/x-7715-Portland-Civil-Rights-Examiner~y2009m8d18-Carbon-Dioxide-irrelevant-in-climate-debate-says-MIT-Scientist

Quote

In a study sure to ruffle the feathers of the Global Warming cabal, Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT has published a paper which proves that IPCC models are overstating by 6 times, the relevance of CO2 in Earth’s Atmosphere. Dr. Lindzen has found that heat is radiated out in to space at a far higher rate than any modeling system to date can account for.



Google search of Dr Lindzen

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&as_q=Professor+Richard+Lindzen+&as_epq=&as_oq=&as_eq=&num=10&lr=&as_filetype=&ft=i&as_sitesearch=&as_qdr=all&as_rights=&as_occt=any&cr=&as_nlo=&as_nhi=&safe=images


You forgot to mention the report was peer reviewed too.:o


you are correct but the link mentioned his multiple peer reviewed publishings. but it must have been a poor group of reviewers or maybe they are all paid deniers[:/]
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

If you look at a graph of temperatures over the last 10 years, you'll note that it jukes all over the place, just like the stock market. This is because there are factors that influence temperature on a day-to-day, week-to-week, and month-to-month basis that have stronger input than manmade CO2 (for example, a volcanic eruption). Because a lot of these factors are difficult/impossible to predict in the short-term, it's ludicrous to try and use a model designed to predict long-term temperature fluctuations to predict temperature change over the course of 10 years. The background noise is too high to pull anything meaningful out of that set of data.
And speaking of data, could somebody post a link to Lindzen's paper that y'all want debunked. Or do you just want kallend to debunk the interpretation of the paper that's offered on some right-wing website?



Which is exactly the reason that reputable climatologists (unlike lawyers) typically use a 30 year period for climate analyis, and certainly NOT a 10 year period.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

Quote

If you look at a graph of temperatures over the last 10 years, you'll note that it jukes all over the place, just like the stock market. This is because there are factors that influence temperature on a day-to-day, week-to-week, and month-to-month basis that have stronger input than manmade CO2 (for example, a volcanic eruption). Because a lot of these factors are difficult/impossible to predict in the short-term, it's ludicrous to try and use a model designed to predict long-term temperature fluctuations to predict temperature change over the course of 10 years. The background noise is too high to pull anything meaningful out of that set of data.
And speaking of data, could somebody post a link to Lindzen's paper that y'all want debunked. Or do you just want kallend to debunk the interpretation of the paper that's offered on some right-wing website?



Which is exactly the reason that reputable climatologists (unlike lawyers) typically use a 30 year period for climate analyis, and certainly NOT a 10 year period.


what about the time period Dr. Lindzen uses?

oh, sorry, cant use his data:D:D
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

If you look at a graph of temperatures over the last 10 years, you'll note that it jukes all over the place, just like the stock market. This is because there are factors that influence temperature on a day-to-day, week-to-week, and month-to-month basis that have stronger input than manmade CO2 (for example, a volcanic eruption). Because a lot of these factors are difficult/impossible to predict in the short-term, it's ludicrous to try and use a model designed to predict long-term temperature fluctuations to predict temperature change over the course of 10 years. The background noise is too high to pull anything meaningful out of that set of data.
And speaking of data, could somebody post a link to Lindzen's paper that y'all want debunked. Or do you just want kallend to debunk the interpretation of the paper that's offered on some right-wing website?



Dude, just go the the first few posts of this thread. Pick the one YOU want to debunk. More information than you can use in a week to look at his work and conclusions
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

0