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rushmc

Or, is is because the down side makes them look stupid?

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A lot of people are going to have to accept that the old model of the US being a manufacturing based economy is over. What is the new economy going to be based on???? As soon as you figure it out, let me know so I can get rich with you.



The Masdar City link was pretty good I thought.
Wind, solar PV, solar thermal, battery technology, cellulosic and algal ethanol, zero/low emission transportation, more efficient grid development, fusion, conservation, waste management and recycling, design work for all of the above systems.....pretty much anything that doesn't rely on old technology based on a finite resource. 20 years ago we were the world's leader in solar. If we had a government which had been forward thinking and spent a fraction on helping that technology develop than we did on nuzzling up to the petroleum teet, we'd be much better off. As it happens, we drove that industry overseas for the most part. Now they're selling it back to us.
There are entrenched interests in Washington which are going to make it very difficult to be forward thinking. But if we're going to be leaders in the future we need to start leading now and not rely on our ability to buy cheap shit from Walmart and back it up with an attitude based on the number of nuclear weapons that we have.

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Some interesting stuff here.

http://finance.yahoo.com/retirement/article/107500/debt-burden-to-weigh-on-stocks;_ylt=AujSQggxOOjDyLMFlyKctRK7YWsA;_ylu=X3oDMTE1cnZvbWhhBHBvcwM2BHNlYwN0b3BTdG9yaWVzBHNsawNkZWJ0YnVyZGVudG8-?mod=retire-401k&sec=topStories&pos=4&asset=&ccode=

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That is what is in doubt, and one word explains why: debt. Despite an uptick in consumer saving, debt levels have only barely begun to come down. Even after the recession ends, economists expect the gradual reduction of the nation's massive consumer debt to take years. In the meantime, they are warning that the economic-growth surge expected for the second half of this year could be followed by slower growth and a softer stock market in 2010....

The debt data are striking. According to the Federal Reserve, total household indebtedness peaked at the end of 2007 at 132% of disposable income. That was by far the highest level since at least the end of World War II, nearly quadruple the 36% of 1952. By the end of March, with families boosting savings, repaying debt and defaulting, the ratio had fallen to 124%, a tad lower but still miles from the level of, say, 69% in the middle of 1985....

Consumer borrowing fell in June for the fifth consecutive month. The savings rate, which had fallen below zero in 2005 as a profligate nation spent more than it earned, was back to 6.9% of disposable income in May. It pulled back to 4.6% in June, but as people struggle to repay debt, many economists expect the savings rate gradually to return to the 7% to 10% range of the post-war years.

"Consumers are under significant financial pressure," Goldman notes in its report. "The weakness in household income -- partly resulting from the sharp slowdown in hourly wage growth -- will make it harder to raise saving without significant constraints on consumption."



While consumer spending is the major drive in the economy (2/3), debt spending is not the goal for a healthy recovery IMO.

And for those that think the banks have learned the lesson....

http://finance.yahoo.com/loans/article/107489/old-banks-new-lending-tricks.html;_ylt=AnzhvHIdGP_n05rBeClRfVS7YWsA;_ylu=X3oDMTFhOTFzOHAwBHBvcwMzBHNlYwNwZXJzb25hbEZpbmFuY2UEc2xrA3NhbWVvbGRiYW5rcw--?mod=loans-personl_smallbiz

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In recent months such big banks as Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) have rolled out newfangled corporate credit lines tied to complicated and volatile derivatives. Others, including Wells Fargo (WFC) and Fifth Third (FITB), are offering payday-loan programs aimed at cash-strapped consumers. Still others are marketing new, potentially risky "structured notes" to small investors.



"tied to complicated and volatile derivatives" does not sound like a lesson learned.

Payday loan programs?!?!?!?!?

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There's no indication that the loans and instruments are doomed to fail. If the economy keeps moving toward recovery, as many measures suggest, then the new products might well work out for buyers and sellers alike.



And if house prices had continued to rise we would have been in a great place as well.

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But it's another scenario that worries regulators, lawmakers, and consumer advocates: that banks once again are making dangerous loans to borrowers who can't repay them and selling toxic investments to investors who don't understand the risks -- all of which could cause blowups in the banking sector and weigh on the economy.



It does not sound like they have learned.....

So if big banks like 5/3rd and Wells Fargo are getting into payday loans, and banks like BofA, Citigroup, and JPM Chase have rolled out new corporate credit lines tied to complicated and volatile derivatives..... Does that make it sound like the banks have changed their ways? Or that they are now looking for new sources of income?
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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We're talking CAR LOANS here, not corporate credit.



Actually we are talking about a govt program... But you tried to claim that the banks would not do dumb things again.... you failed to prove your point, I proved mine

Accept it.
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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We're talking CAR LOANS here, not corporate credit.



Actually we are talking about a govt program... But you tried to claim that the banks would not do dumb things again.... you failed to prove your point, I proved mine

Accept it.



Nope, because you've not done any such thing. You have not produced ONE SHRED of data as requested to support your position.

Posts 122, 148, 152, 159 have all asked you for evidence. Clearly you have NONE.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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You have not produced ONE SHRED of data as requested to support your position



And neither has the Govt, but you made that claim.

You also have ignored the data that has been presented... The norm for you.

You also have ignored answering any questions asked of you.. again, the norm for you.
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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You also have ignored the data that has been presented... The norm for you.

.



You haven't presented any data to support your claim that "the poor" are being taken advantage of in this program.

Which leads to the philosophical question - is it possible to ignore data which aren't there?:S
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The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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You also have ignored the data that has been presented... The norm for you.

.



You haven't presented any data to support your claim that "the poor" are being taken advantage of in this program.

Which leads to the philosophical question - is it possible to ignore data which aren't there?:S


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just because nobody has data doesn't mean it isn't happening. nobody is has data on bounced checks at my shop, but that doesn't mean I don't get them.

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You also have ignored the data that has been presented... The norm for you.

.



You haven't presented any data to support your claim that "the poor" are being taken advantage of in this program.

Which leads to the philosophical question - is it possible to ignore data which aren't there?:S


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just because nobody has data doesn't mean it isn't happening. nobody is has data on bounced checks at my shop, but that doesn't mean I don't get them.



You know the rules: No video - it never happened.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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You haven't presented any data to support your claim that "the poor" are being taken advantage of in this program.



And you have not presented any data to show the rich are... Plus you have ignored any data presented that discredits your opinion... Par for the course for you.

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http://www.edmunds.com/help/about/press/154606/article.html

"Cash for Clunkers" Provides Windfall for Some, High Prices for All, According to Edmunds.com



Oh and you claimed your data said the most new cars were small with a good MPG????

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Which leads to the philosophical question - is it possible to ignore data which aren't there?



You only ignore the data you don't like... Data has been provided, you just ignored it.

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http://money.cnn.com/2009/08/07/autos/cash_for_clunkers_sales/?postversion=2009080704

The government's results showed small cars as the top choice for shoppers looking for Cash for Clunker deals. But an independent analysis by Edmunds.com disputed those results, and showed that two full-size trucks and a small crossover SUV were actually among the top-ten buys

The discrepancy is a result of the methods used. Edmunds.com uses traditional sales measurements, tallying sales by make and model. The government uses a more arcane measurement method that subdivides models according to engine and transmission types, counting them as separate models....

NHTSA, the agency responsible for running Cash for Clunkers, was not immediately able to respond to a request for official Clunker sales tallies of several vehicles, including all their variations. When presented with Edmund's analysis, the agency didn't dispute that the way in which it counted the vehicles would tend to reduce the totals of vehicles with many variations



THAT'S why I didn't just buy into the Govt release like you did. It is a shame your attention to detail only counts when a party you don't like is in charge.

and for those that claim it increased sales:

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http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204619004574324350084909302.html

I love a good sales surge as much as anyone. But it’s not that simple. First, it’s not clear that cash for clunkers actually increased sales. Edmunds.com noted recently that over 100,000 buyers put their purchases on hold waiting for the program to launch. Once consumers could start cashing in on July 24, showrooms were flooded and government servers were overwhelmed as the backlog of buyers finalized their purchases.

Secondly, on July 27, Edmunds.com published an analysis showing that in any given month 60,000 to 70,000 “clunker-like” deals happen with no government program in place. The 200,000-plus deals the government was originally prepared to fund through the program’s Nov. 1 end date were about the “natural” clunker trade-in rate


"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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1. No information there about the mpg data, which is all I quoted. You HAVE to subdivide like the govt. does in order to calculate that:P - simple arithmetic.

2. Nothing in there about victimizing the poor, which is what you have been asked about repeatedly but provide no data AT ALL:P

...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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So do you still insist there is no need for the Feds to release the data, that we can simply believe their summary? Edmunds had to use dealer data, which is likely to be less complete.

Like I said, it would take < 60 seconds for an SQL query to list every transaction and end any doubt.

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You need to read again... while it may not say "MPG" it does say, "The government's results showed small cars as the top choice for shoppers looking for Cash for Clunker deals. But an independent analysis by Edmunds.com disputed those results, and showed that two full-size trucks and a small crossover SUV were actually among the top-ten buys"

So there is a significant difference in the data. The Govt even admits a big problem with the method they use.

"When presented with Edmund's analysis, the agency didn't dispute that the way in which it counted the vehicles would tend to reduce the totals of vehicles with many variations"

But John, thats ok.... We know you demanded data from a Republican, but blindly follow Obama.

Why the double standard? How can a "scientific" guy be so willing to ignore data?
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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You need to read again... while it may not say "MPG" it does say, "The government's results showed small cars as the top choice for shoppers looking for Cash for Clunker deals. But an independent analysis by Edmunds.com disputed those results, and showed that two full-size trucks and a small crossover SUV were actually among the top-ten buys"

So there is a significant difference in the data. The Govt even admits a big problem with the method they use.



NO, they didn't. YOU need to read again.

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"When presented with Edmund's analysis, the agency didn't dispute that the way in which it counted the vehicles would tend to reduce the totals of vehicles with many variations"

But John, thats ok.... We know you demanded data from a Republican, but blindly follow Obama.

Why the double standard? How can a "scientific" guy be so willing to ignore data?



Kindly explain how to calculate average mpg when you don't break down vehicles into subcategories. Counting a hybrid Escape and a regular Escape as the same (as Edmunds did) is not only misleading, it gives you no idea of the mpg achieved since the two are so different.

BTW did you see that Edmunds reports the market share of hybrids increased from 2% to 3.6% (an 80% increase)?


While you're about it,

Please provide DATA indicating the extent to which POOR PEOPLE are going into debt as a result of THIS PROGRAM.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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So do you still insist there is no need for the Feds to release the data,



Straw man. I haven't insisted there is no need.



You don't need it to make conclusions based on their summary. You didn't need it for the extra $2B to be approved either. You continue to challenge counter claims with no actual evidence, so it's quite apparent that this man is made of gold, not straw.

BTW, it's hilariously bad statistics to show hybrids growing 80%.

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So do you still insist there is no need for the Feds to release the data,



Straw man. I haven't insisted there is no need.



You don't need it to make conclusions based on their summary.



OK so you were unable to find anywhere that I insisted....

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BTW, it's hilariously bad statistics to show hybrids growing 80%.



Well, you seem to think the Sun shines from Edmunds, and I was very clear in writing that hybrid MARKET SHARE increased by 80% according to Edmunds' data.

Let me help you:

100* (3.6 - 2)/2 = 80%
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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BTW, it's hilariously bad statistics to show hybrids growing 80%.



Well, you seem to think the Sun shines from Edmunds, and I was very clear in writing that hybrid MARKET SHARE increased by 80% according to Edmunds' data.

Let me help you:

100* (3.6 - 2)/2 = 80%



I'll repeat, it's amateur hour statistics. Stats is the science of reducing a lot of data into simpler conclusions, but the catch is that if you simplify too far, you end up with stupid or misleading results.

The increased number of hybrid models, including ones that have virtually no green qualities, guarantees that sort of growth.

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NO, they didn't. YOU need to read again.



REALLY?!?!?!?! You still want to claim that?!?!?!?!?

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"When presented with Edmund's analysis, the agency didn't dispute that the way in which it counted the vehicles would tend to reduce the totals of vehicles with many variations"



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Kindly explain how to calculate average mpg when you don't break down vehicles into subcategories.



Ah, but when you break down into so many subcategories you water down the result.... something you should understand.

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Counting a hybrid Escape and a regular Escape as the same (as Edmunds did) is not only misleading, it gives you no idea of the mpg achieved since the two are so different.



Ah, but the Govt also set apart things like the standard F150 down into the XL, XLT, STX, Lariat, FX4, SVT, King Ranch, Platinum, and HD and treat each one as its own subgroup, you are misleading... and the Govt admitted to grouping them this way.

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BTW did you see that Edmunds reports the market share of hybrids increased from 2% to 3.6% (an 80% increase)?



I am sure you also read how Edmunds reported that the majority of the sales were compressed, not new. Which means people delayed buying till the program was out, and some bought early to take advantage of the govt money..... Like I said, I am sure you read that as well.

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Please provide DATA indicating the extent to which POOR PEOPLE are going into debt as a result of THIS PROGRAM.



Maybe you could explain how they are not... Or maybe you could explain why you support the "O" administration in not releasing the data they have?

Maybe you can explain you blind trust when you demanded data from Bush all the time?
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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NO, they didn't. YOU need to read again.



REALLY?!?!?!?! You still want to claim that?!?!?!?!?

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"When presented with Edmund's analysis, the agency didn't dispute that the way in which it counted the vehicles would tend to reduce the totals of vehicles with many variations"





Correct, which is not all all the same as your claiming they had a problem or were incorrect. You can easily add the govt' s subcategories to get the overall picture if you wish. You can't divide out Edmund's collective data to find out how many hybrid versions were sold. SO in fact the govt's data are more informative.

Which statement has more information:

" We sold 3 regular Fusions and 2 Fusion hybrids"

or

"We sold 5 Fusions"?
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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1. When you divide the subgroups into seperate groups you water down the data. In this case since there are 7 different types of f150's if you sold two of each and three Civics you are claiming that the Civic is the most popular car.

Never mind that there were 14 f150's sold and only 3 Civics.

2. The Govt HAS NOT reased the data. So you have no idea what is really in it.
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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1. When you divide the subgroups into seperate groups you water down the data. In this case since there are 7 different types of f150's if you sold two of each and three Civics you are claiming that the Civic is the most popular car.

.



Providing MORE detail is not "watering down the data".
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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Providing MORE detail is not "watering down the data".



The Govt has not released the data. So you fail there.

And selling 14 F150's and classifying them as 7 different models due to trim differences when the frame/body/engine are all basically the SAME and trying to claim the three Civics you sold as being the most popular is not being accurate.

You know it, you just don't want to admit it.
"No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." -- Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson Papers, 334

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