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DrunkMonkey

14 Days...

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WOW only 14 more days.... Didn't even realize it.

BTW- You do realize non of this will end then right.
If Kerry is elected, the right will criticize everything he does.
If Bush is elected the left will bitch about how he lost the popular vote in the first election....

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Sometimes it is more important to protect LIFE than Liberty

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good choice. the media did a suck-ass job last time, and you probably could have gotten a better picture of the election by watching your refrigerator than your TV.

remember how they would report that one candidate had "won" a given state, after only 5% of the votes had been cast, and then they'd just flip-flop back & forth as more people cast their votes?>:( apparently accurate reporting is less important than being first .:P

I wonder if they'll pull the same shit this time.
Speed Racer
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good choice. the media did a suck-ass job last time, and you probably could have gotten a better picture of the election by watching your refrigerator than your TV.

remember how they would report that one candidate had "won" a given state, after only 5% of the votes had been cast, and then they'd just flip-flop back & forth as more people cast their votes?>:( apparently accurate reporting is less important than being first .:P

I wonder if they'll pull the same shit this time.



I don't think so..they got a lot of shit last time around.I will be interested to see if there is any speculation this time.

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Sometimes it is more important to protect LIFE than Liberty

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Well, I know this is going to sound a lot like I'm defending the news, but it's a bit like that thread PJ put up a day or so ago, ya gotta read the label, or to be more accurate, listen to the disclaimers, which will say something to the effect of, "with x% of precincts reporting, XYZ News is predicting a win for _______".

This, by the way, makes sense. They are reporting the trends in data. I'll admit the wording could be a lot different, but that's the way it's been done for decades, not just the last election.
quade -
The World's Most Boring Skydiver

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It only mattered in the last election because it was so close.

The universal prayer in the Elections Division of every county in the United States is:

Pray for a landslide

I worked as an administrator (deputy department head) in the Registrar's office of a big California county for just over two years. I know a little about putting on elections and the rules that regulate them. It is a messy business and fairly easy to tamper with.

This one is going to be horrible. Not in California, which electorally is easy for Kerry, but in the 50-50 states like Florida.

Paul, Kerry has already won in the state we live in. Do a happy dance.

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remember how they would report that one candidate had "won" a given state, after only 5% of the votes had been cast, and then they'd just flip-flop back & forth as more people cast their votes?>:( apparently accurate reporting is less important than being first .:P



Calling the state with 5% recorded (not cast!) coupled with exit polling is usually pretty accurate.

So long as the polls are closed, it hurts nothing for Fox or CBS to call a winner immediately. In the Clinton years I believed they all called the winner at 8:01 PST, as soon as the west coast closed.

The problem with Florida last time was that the panhandle was still open. Though personally I'd think it would be best if they would hold until we're done on this side of the country. That would mean staying up past midnight on the east coast, but well, you already do that for football.

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Paul, Kerry has already won in the state we live in. Do a happy dance.



Hey, Gore won in the state we live in and I wasn't happy about the final result of that election. I'll save my happy dance for when one of my guys actually wins. ;)

BTW, to all of those in the "states that don't matter", PLEASE go out and vote anyway. There are lots of other issues to vote on.
quade -
The World's Most Boring Skydiver

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BTW, to all of those in the "states that don't matter", PLEASE go out and vote anyway. There are lots of other issues to vote on.



Like Indian gambling!

It was somewhat amusing - while much of the country was suffering the barrage of nonstop Kerry and Bush ads, we in California got treated to misleading ads from racetrack and casino owners.

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>Pray for a landslide

While I think Bush will win, I think it will be one of the closest elections we've seen in a long time. The fighting will go on for months. From MSN Slate, the five ways it could happen are:

- Voting glitches involving electronic or other voting machines
- Litigation over which provisional ballots are valid
- A fight over the Colorado amendment to split the electoral vote
- A tie in the electoral college or a faithless elector
- A terrorist attack that disrupts voting in a swing state

Won't that be a fun few months? Might be a good time to go on a long hike in the Anza-Borrego desert.

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>Really?! Didn't know you saw it this way.

It's incredibly close now, and the Bush campaign holds all the cards. A Rovian october suprise - a piece of intelligence released or not released - an 'emergency' presidential address - I can't see Kerry being able to counter that. Of course, it could still go either way, but if I was into betting I'd put my money on Bush.

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Won't that be a fun few months? Might be a good time to go on a long hike in the Anza-Borrego desert.



Interestingly, only because I had to do it, is the absentee ballot counting in a county that has converted to touch screens. Touch screen machines have a variety of media they transmit voter data to. Then that data is transmitted into the tabulation computer. With few exceptions, it's paperless.

In California voters can register as permanent absentee voters and vote by mail. They get paper ballots which they fill out and mail back to the county registrar's office. These ballots are then signature checked against the signature on the registration file (the signature checking criteria are very liberal, always in favor of counting the vote), and if found valid are counted either manually or mechanically.

The paper ballot votes are usually counted on a system independent of the polling place data.

For anyone who has the time, either volunteer to assist your registrar on election night, or go down to the office to observe the process. They have to let you, so long as you don't create a ruckus. It is byzantine. All the ballots are collected into the voting precincts, and there may be thousands in your particular county. The count on election night is preliminary and unofficial. The "official" results are not completed for about a month, as every precinct is recounted.

The official count is where things can get wonky. California leaves plenty of time for stuff like provisional ballot disputes, etc. Texas, as an example, certifies their vote in an absurdly short time. When they reach that deadline, they are done counting. Whatever they have at that moment is what the result of the vote is.

This is where the legal wrangling will be weirderer. The states do not count their votes the same ways.

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so, it seems that in this presidential election, people are a lot more fired up than usual. would the rest of you agree with that?


also, do you think that it will translate into higher-than-usual turnout at the polls??
Speed Racer
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translate into higher-than-usual turnout at the polls


I know that early voting turnout is quite high here in the Houston area -- hopefully that'll translate into good, educated turnout overall.

There's a lot to vote on besides the Presidential election.

Wendy W.
There is nothing more dangerous than breaking a basic safety rule and getting away with it. It removes fear of the consequences and builds false confidence. (tbrown)

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