billvon 3,118 #76 June 15, 2004 >My question, maybe poorly asked, is what guarantees that the rise from >historic levels to the current 350ppm began only after we began our >industrial activity? Because they did not begin to seriously rise until the 1800's, when we began to burn massive amounts of coal to fuel the industrial revolution. Before then, the very slow changes in CO2 concentration might well have been caused by, say, changes in tree growth or vulcanism. Since then CO2 concentrations in our atmosphere have increased exponentially, at the same rate as our increase in CO2 emissions. Here is a good summary. You could theorize that a mysterious force has begun to eat up all our CO2 emissions at exactly the same time as another mysterious force (say, an undersea undetected volcano) started emitting lots of CO2, and these both showed exponential growth that somehow matched our rising rates of CO2 emissions. But that's tinfoil-hat territory. We emitted all that CO2; it had to go somewhere. The atmospheric concentrations of CO2 rose at the same rate. Figuring out how many PPM the atmospheric concentration of CO2 will go up if we add a million tons of CO2 to the atmosphere is simple math, and the predicted numbers come pretty close to what we measure. >And in the first, say, 50-100 years of industrialization, were we really >putting out such pollution? The earth's population was drastically lower >than it's become in the last few decades. Agreed. Again, look at the graphs. The increases start out slow then rise exponentially as we hit the 1950's. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
billvon 3,118 #77 June 15, 2004 >You're being earnest when you say "we would if gas wasn't so >expensive..."?? As though anyone would really leave their cars running full >time? Ever been in a house where people leave the A/C running all the time? Even when they are not home? Heck, ever been in a truck stop at night? Yes, if gas was cheap and cars did not wear out through constant idling, then people would run them all the time. Why wouldn't they? If your car could be kept warm in winter and cool in the summer, and it would cost you nothing or pennies, and wouldn't wear out your car, you wouldn't do it? Fortunately gas is somewhat expensive right now, and cars _do_ wear out when they idle. >In any case, the fact that we DON'T proves rather pointedly and effectively > that we are NOT "doing everything we possibly can" to hasten climate > change, as you claimed. We buy fast food in plastic and paper containers, then burn them (or toss them in landfills where they break down and release CO2 and methane.) We buy water 12 ounces at a time in small plastic bottles then toss the bottles. We buy 6000 lb cars to drive 5 miles to work in heavy traffic. We run our A/C's 24 hours a day. We leave lights on all night. Our cities are so bright at night they can be easily seen from the moon. In many places we use incandescent light bulbs, the most inefficient light sources known. We have pools that we heat for many months out of the year. We have hot tubs that we keep warm all year so we can use them a total of 20 hours. We have bonfires for fun. We barbeque for fun. We drive boats in circles for fun, fly airplanes for fun, skydive for fun. We buy the cheapest appliances they make regardless of energy or water usage or efficiency. We buy homes far away from where we work. We cover millions of acres with asphalt, and cut down many more millions of acres of trees. We cover the planet with lawns. We squauk loudly when people propose any energy saving legislation. We laugh at people who propose we reduce our CO2 emissions. So yes, we are doing an absolutely brilliant job of generating as much CO2 as we can. An SUV towing a 26' boat to a lake for a day? You couldn't burn enough leaves in a week to match the amount of CO2 that generates! And when someone suggests they rent a sailboat, they get the "this is America" speech. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tandembrent 0 #78 June 15, 2004 Jeff, brent here! i would recomend that you do a little research about polar shifts and read the work done by a man named Charels Hapgood. when mr. Hapgood presented his findings and therories to mr. Albert Einstine , Einstine exclaimed " that explains all the annomallies about glaciation and climate change" as well as presenting a viable source of caos that continental drift and plate tectonics can't account for! there are 200 known locations fo the magnetic north pole occuring in the last 6 million years. the poles don't change their location in relation to the earths orbit or it's location according to the sun, the earths outer mantle ( lithosphere) moves at a very rapid rate like clock work about every 10,000 to 15,000 years because of a systematic build up of ice on one or both of the polar regions. this build-up cuases an imbalance that will eventually need to shift and find a new equallibrium. all i would ask, before anyone lables me a fruitcake is, do your own research and come to your own conclusions. a quick selling point, try this; find a globe, place your finger on the southwest lower corner of Hudson bay Canada and transfer an imaginary arctic circle around your finger. where are all of the lakes located after doing this? answer; inside the last known arctic circle!! don't beleive me? check it out yourself and do the research. brent ***~~~~Green grass and high clouds forever~~~~ no matter where you go, there you are! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
peacefuljeffrey 0 #79 June 15, 2004 QuoteWe have bonfires for fun. We barbeque for fun. We drive boats in circles for fun, fly airplanes for fun, skydive for fun. I guess I don't understand your argument. Essentially it seems you're saying that we use fuel to power our lives. Are you saying that we should stop cooking our food, stop doing things that are fun, like skydiving, flying, boating, et cetera, just because they cannot be done without polluting to some degree, or using fuels? I guess we should just stop living? That'd save the earth a lot of trouble, after all. Or do you advocate all the people who aren't you stopping using all this fuel? Because unless you're willing to give up this frivolous thing called skydiving -- or have the number of times you do it limited by the government, perhaps? -- you'd be a hypocrite to criticize anyone else's consumption. Is that what's coming to light here? --Jeffrey "With tha thoughts of a militant mind... Hard line, hard line after hard line!" Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
peacefuljeffrey 0 #80 June 15, 2004 QuoteQuoteRed-blooded, Meat eating, God fearing, Capitalist, Gun owning, Heterosexual, Conservative, American, and Proud. Any questions? I've got a question. Could you be a little more specific on the "American?" Is that North American, or South American? Does it mean you're a citizen of the United States of America, and so exclude Canada, Greenland, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Belize, Trinidad, Peurto Rico, Jamaica, the Dominican Republic, Cuba, The Bahama's, Haiti, the protectorates of the Turks and Caicos and Bermuda, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela and the dependancies of the Falkland Inlands and French Guiana, or does it mean you're a citizen of the United States of America, Canada, Greenland, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Belize, Trinidad, Peurto Rico, Jamaica, the Dominican Republic, Cuba, The Bahama's, Haiti, the protectorates of the Turks and Caicos and Bermuda, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela and the dependancies of the Falkland Inlands and French Guiana? Any answers?t I don't know of any other country in the Americas that has the word "America" as part of its official name. "The United States of America." There is no egotism or arrogance in calling ourselves "American" as though we're pretending the rest of North and South America don't exist. Isn't there a country called "United Arab Emirates"? How should we deal with the idea of people from Libya calling themselves "Arabs" when "Libya" does not contain the word "Arab"? I mean, geez, people, you're splitting hairs. --Jeffrey "With tha thoughts of a militant mind... Hard line, hard line after hard line!" Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
peacefuljeffrey 0 #81 June 15, 2004 QuoteI know a couple people from S. America that are mildly offended that we have the balls to take that title. But what the hell else are we going to say? United Statesen? They'd have better claim that we usurped the word "America" if it were part of the actual name of their country, like it is ours. What, they're upset that we co-opted half the name of their continent? Besides, "United States" could refer to the states that are united under any government in any nation. It's non-specific without "of America." These "offended" people should get a grip. As an aside, I've long thought that our country needs a better name. I already mentioned the non-specificity of "United States"... and "America"? Why use the name -- the FIRST name -- of some Italian discoverer whom most people don't even recognize? Amerigo Vespucci supposedly arrived here before Columbus (or was it after?) and we named the place after his first name?! How LAME that is! I think that since our nation was born of a notion of "LIBERTY," it is our country that should have taken the name "Liberia." I can't believe we gave that gem away! --Jeffrey "With tha thoughts of a militant mind... Hard line, hard line after hard line!" Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
peacefuljeffrey 0 #82 June 15, 2004 Quote Let's see, a self-proclaimed scientist ("As a scientist...") working for a highly partisan organization writes a book entitled "The Predictable Distortion of Global Warming by Scientists, Politicians and the Media" Seems to me he impeached his own credibility right there. Real scientists publish in peer reviewed journals. Oh, and they never write books! I guess you expect everyone with a particular viewpoint to publish it in a book that at the same time works equally hard to tear down that viewpoint? You expect people to be their own detractors and naysayers? Otherwise they're too biased? By the way, what is so wrong with a scientist saying that there are other scientists who are using science in a biased and disingenuous way? When a judge is charged with corruption, is it not a judge who then sits in judgment of him? Should we have lay-people judge judges because a judge judging a judge impeaches the credibility of judges, by definition? --Jeffrey "With tha thoughts of a militant mind... Hard line, hard line after hard line!" Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
peacefuljeffrey 0 #83 June 15, 2004 QuoteQuote By that definition the Matrix was an awful movie. But I don't think scientific accuracy was the objective of that movie. What's your beef with the Matrix, the human = coppertop thing? Yes. The idea that the machines could milk us for bioelectricity was preposterously stupid, since were so very ridiculously far from being 100% energy efficient. The machines would have been better off burning the nutritional material that they fed to the humans in those cocoons to directly turn turbines than they would have been to raise crops ofhumans and then siphon off the pittance of a return that they would get in the form of bioelectricity. Not to mention the fact that humans lying their entire lives in these cocoons would never develop properly or be healthy enough to be much good. How much strength would there be in the bioelectricity of a body that had never exercised? Think of it this way: If you were dying of thirst and had a pitcher of water, would you pour the pitcher into a sponge, and then squeeze the sponge -- which you will never get to yield all of its water, and which takes an expenditure of energy on your part just to do the squeezing -- or would you just drink from the pitcher?? This is the fundamental flaw in The Matrix, which overall was still an immensely entertaining movie -- but you'd be surprised at how few people display an understanding of it when I explain it to them. --Jeffrey "With tha thoughts of a militant mind... Hard line, hard line after hard line!" Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
billvon 3,118 #84 June 15, 2004 >I guess I don't understand your argument. Essentially it seems >you're saying that we use fuel to power our lives. Right. That's a statement, not an argument. >Are you saying that we should stop cooking our food, stop doing >things that are fun, like skydiving, flying, boating, et cetera, just > because they cannot be done without polluting to some degree, or > using fuels? Not at all! Just start using less fuels. We've been using more and more fuel as time goes on - reverse that and start using less and less. I'm generating 20kwhr/day from solar right now; that accounts for all my electrical and direct fuel (natural gas, gasoline) usage. Within about a year I'll be able to offset my indirect transportation fuel usage as well, including skydiving and airline travel. The objective is not to live like cavemen. The objective is to use less fuel and live better. Compact flourescents are a perfect example - spend a little more for a lamp, get one that uses half the power and puts out twice the light. That's not living without, that's living with _more._ Skydiving? Switch to diesel engines for small aircraft (some light singles are using diesels now) and fuel with biodiesel. No net CO2 release and more reliable, longer lasting engines. Who loses there? There are far too many people who equate environmentalism with doing without. That's a really limiting way of thinking. Do more with less. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kallend 2,148 #85 June 15, 2004 QuoteQuote Let's see, a self-proclaimed scientist ("As a scientist...") working for a highly partisan organization writes a book entitled "The Predictable Distortion of Global Warming by Scientists, Politicians and the Media" Seems to me he impeached his own credibility right there. Real scientists publish in peer reviewed journals. Oh, and they never write books! I guess you expect everyone with a particular viewpoint to publish it in a book that at the same time works equally hard to tear down that viewpoint? You expect people to be their own detractors and naysayers? Otherwise they're too biased? By the way, what is so wrong with a scientist saying that there are other scientists who are using science in a biased and disingenuous way? When a judge is charged with corruption, is it not a judge who then sits in judgment of him? Should we have lay-people judge judges because a judge judging a judge impeaches the credibility of judges, by definition? - If he has any actual data or new analysis to contradict the prevailing scientific viewpoint, he should publish it in a peer reviewed journal. That's the way science works and has worked for some 250 years now. To do otherwise is to advertize himself as a charlatan.... The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rickjump1 0 #86 June 15, 2004 *** I guess the makers of "The Green Berets" hoped for a similar response about the Vietnam War. I don't think they were hoping for the kind of response I saw in Kuala Lumpur. Everytime the VC would kick ass, the audience howled in approval.Do your part for global warming: ban beans and hold all popcorn farts. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kallend 2,148 #87 June 15, 2004 Quote*** I guess the makers of "The Green Berets" hoped for a similar response about the Vietnam War. I don't think they were hoping for the kind of response I saw in Kuala Lumpur. Everytime the VC would kick ass, the audience howled in approval. Don't know about approval. I think the movie is an embarrassment. Even the theme music is dreadful.... The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
storm1977 0 #88 June 15, 2004 Quote Attention everyone! It's a freekin' movie. I doubt many rational people will be swayed in their views of the possiblity of this happening in their life as they were by other science fiction disaster films such as "Godzilla", Armageddon" or "Plan Nine from Outer Space". Funny... Now a movie is just a movie, but when Passion of the Christ was out it was more than a Movie ...right? Chris ----------------------------------------------------- Sometimes it is more important to protect LIFE than Liberty Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
billvon 3,118 #89 June 15, 2004 >but when Passion of the Christ was out it was more than a Movie ...right? That was just a movie too. Most things you see in a movie theatre are. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
storm1977 0 #90 June 15, 2004 As a meteorologist let me say a few things here. First of all this movie is laced with inaccuracies far beyond most Sci-Fi films. If you look at the BIG CHILL theory it resemble nothing like this. Secondly global warming and global cooling exist. They existed long before man and long before pollution. If you really believe man can destroy the earth than you are niave at best. We do have the capability to make it tough for humans to live, but life will go on in some form. Just maybe one you wouldn't like. As meteorologist we know about as much for climate weather in the future as we know if will rain in Boston exactly 6 months from today. WE DON"T KNOW SHIT!!!!! All these models we run we need much more data than we supply them. And don't think for a second that even the "Trends" on these models are accurate because they are not. Especially in time frames greater than one month. Good luck.. If you want to know the future call Ms. Cleo, she is more likely to know. Chris ----------------------------------------------------- Sometimes it is more important to protect LIFE than Liberty Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nacmacfeegle 0 #91 June 16, 2004 "First of all this movie is laced with inaccuracies far beyond most Sci-Fi films." Well yeah, as discussed up the thread, its entertainment, so no argument there. Look at Hollywood's depiction of skydiving in films like Point Break, Dropzone, Cutaway etc, apply the same accuracy to climate change and we get films like this. "If you want to know the future call Ms. Cleo, she is more likely to know." Thanks but I'll stick to Joyce Penner, from the University of Michigan; Thomas Crowley, of Duke University; Richard Alley, from Pennsylvania State University; Jerry Meehl, of the National Center for Atmospheric Research; Lonnie Thompson, from Ohio State University; and Chris Field, of the Carnegie Institution of Washington, Daniel Schrag, of Harvard University, Michael Oppenheimer, from Princeton University, David Battisti, from the University of Washington in Seattle. Especially when they urge your government "not to get hung up on the uncertainties that still surrounded climate science - and not to use gaps in knowledge as an excuse for inaction." http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/3810291.stm "As meteorologist we know about as much for climate weather in the future as we know if will rain in Boston exactly 6 months from today." From the article linked to above, ""A combination of the models and the data, including the deep-past climate records, are really pretty convincing that if you increase the carbon dioxide (CO2) levels from today's values of 370 parts per million to a 1,000 ppm - which we are going to do within the next 150 years without a doubt - it is going to be a very different world," Just so I get a balanced view, do you have any links debunking the effect of CO2 on Global Warming? "We do have the capability to make it tough for humans to live, but life will go on in some form. Just maybe one you wouldn't like." If you put water in the fuel tanks of your jump plane, the plane may not necessarily be totalled but it sure does piss on everyone's parade. If we do nothing and the scientists are wrong, all well and good, if we do something and the scientists are wrong, no harm done, a bit of money spent but no big deal really, it might actually give some industries a much needed shot in the arm. If we do nothing and the scientists are right, we've just fucked up the planet. Call me naive if you like, but we have had the capability to change the planet's weather systems for years, nuclear winter for example. One final thought. ""We're in the middle of a large, uncontrolled experiment on the only planet we have," said Don Kennedy, the editor-in-chief of Science magazine."-------------------- He who receives an idea from me, receives instruction himself without lessening mine; as he who lights his taper at mine, receives light without darkening me. Thomas Jefferson Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites