livendive 8 #1 July 29, 2003 http://www.cnn.com/2003/US/07/29/terrorist.market.ap/index.html As cynical as I am regarding matters of politics these days, this one still surprized me. Blues, Dave"I AM A PROFESSIONAL EXTREME ATHLETE!" (drink Mountain Dew) Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CrazyIvan 0 #2 July 29, 2003 Clicky: http://www.cnn.com/2003/US/07/29/terrorist.market.ap/index.html __________________________________________ Blue Skies and May the Force be with you. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Laurel 0 #3 July 29, 2003 http://www.cnn.com/2003/US/07/29/terrorist.market.ap/index.html..................................................................... PMS#28, Pelogrande Rodriguez#1074 My Pink M Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CrazyIvan 0 #4 July 29, 2003 Please...someone stop the world.....I'm getting off __________________________________________ Blue Skies and May the Force be with you. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
livendive 8 #5 July 29, 2003 Man you guys are fast! I edited it to make it clicky less than a minute after posting it, and got two replies making it clicky in the same span! Blues, Dave"I AM A PROFESSIONAL EXTREME ATHLETE!" (drink Mountain Dew) Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhillyKev 0 #6 July 29, 2003 What a fantastic use of my tax dollars. Further proof that the current administration is a bunch of asshats. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
livendive 8 #7 July 29, 2003 QuoteWhat a fantastic use of my tax dollars. Further proof that the current administration is a bunch of asshats. Well THAT didn't last long. See http://www.cnn.com/2003/US/07/29/terrorist.market.ap/index.html At least they only threw $600,000 at it before realizing it was a stupid idea. Blues, Dave"I AM A PROFESSIONAL EXTREME ATHLETE!" (drink Mountain Dew) Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WILDBILLAQR 0 #8 July 29, 2003 WTF were they thinking? ---------------------------------------------- "Thats not smoke, thats BUCKEYE!!" AQR#3,CWR#49 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BlueEyedMonster 0 #9 July 29, 2003 QuoteWell THAT didn't last long. Well then you can place your bets on Me! Will I make 200 jumps and my D license OR Veteran status first. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CrazyIvan 0 #10 July 29, 2003 QuoteWTF were they thinking? They are politicians...they CAN'T think. __________________________________________ Blue Skies and May the Force be with you. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Zenister 0 #11 July 29, 2003 QuoteWhat a fantastic use of my tax dollars. Further proof that the current administration is a bunch of asshats. it has nothing to do with the administration. its a DARPA project, and dispite the distasteful nature, it could have been a great analytical tool. you'll never do anything great if you dont think outside the lines..____________________________________ Those who fail to learn from the past are simply Doomed. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
lawrocket 3 #12 July 29, 2003 Actually, if you thnk about it, it might be a great tool. Imagine seeing a bunch of people suddenly wagering that there will be, for example, a declaration of war by France. We could immediately laugh! Then again, if there was a wager that there would be a mahine gun and attack at the Athens airport during the Olympics, we could see who was making these bets and investigate them. If they came from a common geographic area, we would have greater idea. It's an interesting idea, but it just seems a little too revolting. We should have learned by now that reality often is revolting. My wife is hotter than your wife. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Zenister 0 #13 July 29, 2003 actually youve got it a bit backwards. you dont investigate the people 'betting' (and its not betting in the traditional sense) because they do so 'anonymously, but you would get a early warning because those 'investors' could possiblyhave insider information that they would never share otherwise... it was an idea with alot of potential unfortunately its highly distasteful and the shortsighted politicians used it as a publicity lever without any real understanding of the concept.____________________________________ Those who fail to learn from the past are simply Doomed. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Push 0 #14 July 29, 2003 If I know that if I bet on a terrorist act occuring the government will prevent it, why am I betting? -- Toggle Whippin' Yahoo Skydiving is easy. All you have to do is relax while plummetting at 120 mph from 10,000' with nothing but some nylon and webbing to save you. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Zenister 0 #15 July 29, 2003 go do some research into futures markets and their accuracy at predicting trends vs other means. Its a method of collecting information that is not available otherwise, as there is no incentive to provide it. your not looking at it from a wholistic perspective.____________________________________ Those who fail to learn from the past are simply Doomed. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
livendive 8 #16 July 29, 2003 QuoteIf I know that if I bet on a terrorist act occuring the government will prevent it, why am I betting? Well, for everyone betting that there will be a tragedy, someone else would have to bet there won't. One can't sell short without a buyer. Blues, Dave"I AM A PROFESSIONAL EXTREME ATHLETE!" (drink Mountain Dew) Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhillyKev 0 #17 July 29, 2003 Quotego do some research into futures markets and their accuracy at predicting trends vs other means. Yeah, kind of like the Nasdaq predicted the flourishing IT climate that exists today. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhillyKev 0 #18 July 29, 2003 Quoteit has nothing to do with the administration. its a DARPA project, Ummm...DARPA is a subsidiary of the DoD and its leaders are appointed by the pres, and therefore part of the administration. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Zenister 0 #19 July 29, 2003 the administration does not directly supervise DARPA they just approve funding. Projects are started and stopped all the time without top level approval.. micro management is a terrible thing.____________________________________ Those who fail to learn from the past are simply Doomed. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Zenister 0 #20 July 29, 2003 QuoteQuotego do some research into futures markets and their accuracy at predicting trends vs other means. Yeah, kind of like the Nasdaq predicted the flourishing IT climate that exists today. nice generalization. now go do some real research and tell me how often the futures market has made correct forecasts.____________________________________ Those who fail to learn from the past are simply Doomed. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhillyKev 0 #21 July 29, 2003 Quotenow go do some real research and tell me how often the futures market has made correct forecasts. You made the claim...back it up. Here's my research...these 3 people that I work for who manage over 10 billion in assets and say that is a load of bull. People point out the times it was accurate and ignore all the times it is not. Kind of like psychics making 100 prediction, and since 1 came true they claim they have a gift. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Zenister 0 #22 July 29, 2003 i made the claim that its a good analytical tool. any tool can be used well or badly. Quite often the analysis is wrong but the data set was correct.____________________________________ Those who fail to learn from the past are simply Doomed. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
downwardspiral 0 #23 July 29, 2003 This is going to be harsh. Does anybody have a better idea to predict terrorist acts? If you bitch,whine and complain about someone elses proposed solution without offering a solution yourself....what does that make you? Here is my proposed solution: Pull your heads out of your asses and try using your fucking brain matter for something other than bringing people down to your level!www.FourWheelerHB.com Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
livendive 8 #24 July 29, 2003 QuoteThis is going to be harsh. Does anybody have a better idea to predict terrorist acts? If you bitch,whine and complain about someone elses proposed solution without offering a solution yourself....what does that make you? So if the government started spending two billion a year giving out chocolate bars to convicted sex offenders under the premise that chocolate makes people happy and happy people don't commit rape, would I have to propose an alternate therapy solution for reforming sex offenders before I could say the chocolate idea is stupid. Quote Here is my proposed solution: Pull your heads out of your asses and try using your fucking brain matter for something other than bringing people down to your level! There is substantial benefit to questioning and/or discrediting theories, even in the absence of better theories. Additionally, most politicians couldn't possibly move "down" to my level, rather they'd have to climb several floors. Blues, Dave"I AM A PROFESSIONAL EXTREME ATHLETE!" (drink Mountain Dew) Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PhillyKev 0 #25 July 29, 2003 QuoteIf you bitch,whine and complain about someone elses proposed solution without offering a solution yourself....what does that make you? Someone who sees another waste of tax payer money on a useless endeavor being spear headed by a convicted felon. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
