0
ChasingBlueSky

US Underestimated Iraq War

Recommended Posts

Um, they didn't think they would need to do nation-building? Why not? You dispose of the leader, and the entire support structure, the public infrastructure was taken out on both sides, and you drop a couple billion dollars worth of warheads into every major city....how can you not think you would have to rebuild? Did they plan to leave it in ruins much like Afghanastan? They didn't plan on being there a year? Experts before the war, on BOTH sides, voiced that we would need to be there for over 10 years to support the country after a major attack.

After Vietnam how could you not think the locals would get upset and fight back? We were there to help them that time as well. It's even worse this time with the different religions/beliefs in Iraq.

Even some of us on here (once again, on both sides), mentioned how the war would be short, but the time there would be long.

File this one under "DUH" for W.

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story2&cid=540&u=/ap/20030926/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_us_military_1&printer=1

Signs Show U.S. Underestimated Iraq War
51 minutes ago

By ROBERT BURNS, AP Military Writer

WASHINGTON - Wear and tear on tanks in Iraq (news - web sites) is outpacing the Army's efforts to repair and resupply. The administration is scrambling to find thousands more troops by early next year. Stressed American soldiers are suddenly being given two-week vacations.

Five months into the American occupation of Iraq, there are growing signs that the Bush administration vastly underestimated what it would take to stabilize the country after Baghdad fell in early April.


Pentagon (news - web sites) planners had not expected that such a large U.S. force, now totaling 130,000 troops, would be required for such a long period — more than a year it now appears, rather than weeks.


They won't acknowledge the miscalculation publicly, but recent developments make them obvious:


_ Wear on tank treads and vehicle tires that has far outpaced the Army's ability to resupply them. Treads that normally are replaced once a year are wearing out in two months. Asked whether war planners had anticipated such heavy work for U.S. ground troops this long after the war, Gen. Paul Kern, the Army's materiel chief, said, "Some did, some didn't."


_ The decision to require 12-month tours for all troops in Iraq, including reservists. When the 3rd Infantry Division and the 1st Marine Expeditionary Force conquered Baghdad in early April, those troops thought the war was over and they would be headed home in a matter of weeks. Instead they stayed for months, and their replacements will serve even longer.


_ The disclosure this week by senior military commanders that they may have to take the politically sensitive step of calling up thousands more reservists for Iraq duty than was planned just weeks ago. A troop rotation plan announced in July included mobilization of two National Guard brigades. But that plan is being re-evaluated in light of continuing attacks on American forces and slow progress in getting other countries to contribute troops.


_ The Pentagon's decision to begin granting troops a vacation break, leaves that began this week and are expected to increase in number.


"They planned to pull the troops out quickly," said Anthony Cordesman, a defense expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. That plan was based on what Cordesman called an illogical assumption that U.S. forces would be greeted almost universally as liberators, that political control could be handed over to Iraqis quickly and that there would be no insurgency.


"We never really had a nation-building plan," Cordesman said.


Pentagon planners did foresee some postwar difficulties. They were prepared, for example, to deal with a refugee problem, with acute hunger, with a torching of oil fields or with an explosion of ethnic violence — none of which happened.


What they did not fully foresee was the violence aimed at U.S. occupation troops and the other security problems that have hampered the reconstruction efforts and angered many Iraqis.


An early indication that the administration did not foresee a long and violent postwar period was a statement made by Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld on Feb. 27, shortly before the war began.


"It's not logical to me," he told reporters, to think it would take as many troops to keep the peace as it would to win the war. The implication was that once Baghdad fell, U.S. forces could begin to draw down as Iraqis took over more of the security duties around the country.


It remains the plan to transfer security and other responsibilities to the Iraqis. But the looting and lawlessness that descended upon parts of Iraq immediately after Saddam Hussein (news - web sites) fell — followed by increasingly sophisticated and deadly ambushes of U.S. troops — have prevented any substantial decrease in the number of American troops on the ground.


Some say it may have been beyond the Pentagon's capacity to anticipate these problems.


"Military operations, in my experience, rarely turn out exactly as you envisioned them, without having to make adjustments," said Steve Abbot, a retired four-star Navy admiral who was deputy commander of U.S. European Command when it ran the air war over Kosovo in 1999. "Clearly there have been major adjustments."


___

EDITOR'S NOTE — Robert Burns has covered military affairs for The Associated Press since 1990.
_________________________________________
you can burn the land and boil the sea, but you can't take the sky from me....
I WILL fly again.....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

They didn't underestimate anything. They just weren't honest about what it would take because they wouldn't have the support that they did.



I actually have to agree w/ PK on this one...But I still believe that it was a neccessary action..
I'm not usually into the whole 3-way thing, but you got me a little excited with that. - Skymama
BTR #1 / OTB^5 Official #2 / Hellfish #408 / VSCR #108/Tortuga/Orfun

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

0